Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62ccfc65192e0e0792fa80f12a76ba08556cc72e62344d5364f77bcc7aad755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Volunteersof Tennessee Volunteers, South Carolina Gamecocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 55c | 2,412$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 2,132$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.4 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee Volunteers | 58c | 220.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 42c | 179.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 46c | 168.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 40c | 166.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 150.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…6ab9backed Tennessee Volunteers | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 42c | 51.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 58c | 35.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…f9a6backed Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 61c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-8.5)this page
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. South Carolina GamecocksTennessee Volunteers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 141.5Under won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 143.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.