Spread: Norway (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7164003effdfef62c5ac5b660c40630ecde0890e3c328ef8510f037831c59c0c

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Norwayof Norway, Iraq
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,635,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,751,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,635,322 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 716 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Norway	32c	654,190$210,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443,557.29	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Iraq	69c	562,394$385,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385,489.16	25	48%12 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iraq	67c	225,086$150,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150,536.25	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Iraq	65c	102,663$66,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,427.82	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Iraq	65c	100,000$65,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,999.95	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Norway	37c	82,726$30,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,129.44	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+140%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Norway	35c	71,429$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,428.57	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Norway	30c	33,957$10,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,649.62	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Norway	37c	25,000$9,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,749.92	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Norway	36c	23,610$8,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,110.56	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Norway	29c	20,494$5,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,529.09	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Norway	35c	17,255$6,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,215.63	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Iraq	60c	16,505$9,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,828.64	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Norway	35c	14,286$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,285.71	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iraq	65c	13,845$8,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,999.48	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Norway	33c	13,318$4,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,982.33	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Norway	36c	12,404$4,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,996.18	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Norway	36c	12,000$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,680	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Iraq	68c	11,998$8,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,099.42	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e1…d250backed Iraq	64c	10,823$6,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,926.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Iraq	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,399.99	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-7.3wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4aac…c78fbacked Iraq	66c	9,476$6,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,254.47	150	56%84 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Norway	30c	8,735$2,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,114.49	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Norway	35c	8,571$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,571.43	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Norway	34c	8,136$2,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,340.91	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Norway	36c	7,777$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,977.28	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Iraq	66c	7,576$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	128	62.5%80 W · 48 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Iraq	64c	7,500$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.97	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Norway	36c	7,000$2,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,509.98	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Norway	38c	6,853$2,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,248.86	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Norway	36c	6,475$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,174.92	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Norway	39c	6,182$2,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,785.64	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked Iraq	66c	6,166$4,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,069.39	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d20…71f4backed Norway	21c	6,084$1,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,786.69	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Norway	34c	6,029$2,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,003.32	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Iraq	65c	6,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Iraq	63c	6,000$3,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,779.93	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Norway	31c	5,955$1,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,111.85	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Iraq	63c	5,951$3,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,767.83	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Norway	35c	5,700$1,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,705	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Norway	35c	5,336$1,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,468.4	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Norway	37c	5,308$1,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,333.24	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Iraq	63c	5,159$3,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,253.46	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Iraq	63c	5,000$3,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed Iraq	65c	5,000$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norway	27c	4,617$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,376.25	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Iraq	65c	4,529$2,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,944.12	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Iraq	65c	4,500$2,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,925	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Iraq	4c	4,274$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.92	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Iraq	65c	4,248$2,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,761	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Norway	35c	4,007$1,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,591.28	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Norway	36c	4,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,560	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Norway	36c	4,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,559.74	100	26%26 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Norway	21c	3,872$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,065.33	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Iraq	75c	3,680$2,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,766.85	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Iraq	63c	3,676$2,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,321.8	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Iraq	64c	3,393$2,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,182.72	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Iraq	65c	3,100$2,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,014.95	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Iraq	66c	3,069$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,023.87	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Norway	35c	3,060$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,988.78	122	48.4%59 W · 63 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Iraq	66c	3,030$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	193	24.4%47 W · 146 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Norway	35c	3,000$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,949.98	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Iraq	65c	3,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.97	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…da86backed Norway	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,857.14	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.26per pick	34cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Iraq	76c	2,803$2,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,138.75	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Norway	36c	2,780$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,779.2	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Iraq	14c	2,503$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Norway	35c	2,500$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Iraq	62c	2,400$1,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,488	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Iraq	63c	2,365$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.22	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac9…1a8dbacked Norway	35c	2,316$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,505.68	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Norway	38c	2,208$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,367	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Iraq	5c	2,097$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.86	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Iraq	64c	2,055$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.24	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Norway	37c	2,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Iraq	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.97	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Iraq	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.97	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Norway	21c	1,976$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560.7	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Norway	25c	1,910$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.2	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Norway	34c	1,862$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,237.45	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Norway	19c	1,836$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.2	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Norway	35c	1,714$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.29	113	35.4%40 W · 73 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Iraq	72c	1,649$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,191.96	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Norway	28c	1,641$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,176.6	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Norway	35c	1,600$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Iraq	65c	1,600$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	137	62.8%86 W · 51 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Iraq	65c	1,538$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	168	25.6%43 W · 125 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Iraq	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	110	65.5%72 W · 38 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Iraq	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	81	58%47 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Iraq	65c	1,500$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Iraq	49c	1,499$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.13	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Iraq	63c	1,492$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.36	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Iraq	64c	1,468$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.52	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Iraq	67c	1,436$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965	107	62.6%67 W · 40 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d78…c66cbacked Norway	36c	1,430$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.92	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Norway	35c	1,429$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.57	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Norway	35c	1,429$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.57	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	35cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Norway	35c	1,429$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.57	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.5wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Norway	35c	1,429$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.57	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Norway	35c	1,400$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Norway (-2.5)this page
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Norway (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event