TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$647,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$646,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Over10c161,571$16,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,157.1133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd194…c51fbacked Over0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015037.3%56 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c13,365$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab0…5ca4backed Over28c12,529$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.6312645.2%57 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over10c11,442$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.8912825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over25c11,429$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.3518837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over10c9,838$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.751,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over2c8,157$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Over8c6,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over10c6,033$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.112,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Over10c5,839$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5704829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over11c5,385$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3459230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over10c5,025$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.548858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Over21c4,995$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07212432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c4,797$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.144,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over15c4,744$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.6420560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over35c4,628$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.4631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c4,516$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over15c4,469$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.1610836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over5c3,869$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.91,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30e…9b40backed Over10c3,851$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over9c3,505$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.512,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over21c3,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over6c3,373$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over10c3,288$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.442,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Under79c3,146$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.063321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over21c3,003$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.352,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63cf…94ddbacked Under70c2,837$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.1910442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under74c2,538$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.921,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over12c2,439$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.655731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over10c2,150$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under72c2,086$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.298354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under72c1,986$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.8177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c1,937$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over13c1,740$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over16c1,679$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4735424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Over30c1,628$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6720053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c1,606$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over14c1,502$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Over10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466a…76e7backed Under70c1,485$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.871442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd2d…904cbacked Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.285841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over8c1,388$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over12c1,280$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.817431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Under80c1,210$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2611436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over9c1,141$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.382,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over13c1,077$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.043727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over10c1,044$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.393151.6%16 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick32cpaid+92.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Over29c1,041$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006241.9%26 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Over11c896.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.431711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under67c881.03$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6438745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Under71c877$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.334546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over19c856.1$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5347744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over17c849$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.181,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over17c840.28$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.841,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over10c827.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.745930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3a…65c8backed Over10c765.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.521637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over35c760.65$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.231,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc966…e142backed Over10c670$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over9c660.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7632422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under67c645$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.252,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over10c604.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over21c603.75$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.881,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over4c594.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6826449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over5c550$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.77273.7%1 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-69.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over10c550$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over10c544$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1843826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over11c513$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4617732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over28c510$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3527845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Over31c504.14$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.785143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd099…6ad3backed Over8c499.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407030%21 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over12c460.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4338437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Over12c458.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.168942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Over13c415$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.392653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Under69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1244852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5264…9a63backed Over11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.751414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc6…85f2backed Over10c380$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383259.4%19 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+57.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under75c367$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.231,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Over14c364.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over29c344.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3519935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under70c336$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3246445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a0…ad68backed Over29c333.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.646349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over32c328.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1912040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Over31c323.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998119.8%16 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over24c320.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.31,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d7…101ebacked Over32c315.63$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10112738.6%49 W · 78 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over9c311.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.961,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1f…f549backed Under73c300$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.42050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over29c293.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.022,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over29c292.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.918036.3%29 W · 51 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over21c272.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.653436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over35c263.15$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.146939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under70c261$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8217255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.