TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,247,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,689,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,247,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe549…2d54backed Under63c339,334$213,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,266.2715552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c264,748$119,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,485.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under63c172,500$108,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,674.8732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c136,172$63,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,552.271,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over37c127,776$47,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,498.842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over37c113,352$41,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,411.579747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa107…b7bdbacked Over66c90,000$59,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,715.231241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over37c67,568$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,567.5719644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over58c59,000$34,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,779.964456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under18c52,520$9,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,708.7536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over40c45,594$18,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,263.8877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c43,723$24,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,456.943,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over37c40,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,199.9417949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Over36c33,591$12,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,498.532552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over38c31,017$11,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,316.081,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over59c30,348$17,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,447.9714248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c20,227$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,603.1959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under4c19,861$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.678728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed Under56c17,870$10,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,049.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under7c13,656$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.7730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over38c12,132$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,521.817020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under7c11,776$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.1136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under26c11,646$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.3539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under12c11,209$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c10,891$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.94,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under17c9,901$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.8444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under31c9,764$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.729233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under69c9,087$6,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,263.871560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+148.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over36c8,432$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,423.842,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over75c8,362$6,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.334845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under8c8,045$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.1439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under63c8,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0401,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over38c8,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.919253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Under64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c7,766$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,530.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under17c7,095$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.1933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over74c7,000$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Over80c6,300$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2602487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under62c6,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.9611343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under30c5,806$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.42,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under62c5,486$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.91,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under16c5,115$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.68643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under37c5,029$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.1342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under42c5,023$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.674344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under62c4,982$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.381,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under64c4,835$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.424456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Under63c4,777$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.513644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Under14c4,134$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.746624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c4,090$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under62c4,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0769…3690backed Over79c3,829$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.122360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under36c3,669$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.4220150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over38c3,500$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1708158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Under15c3,378$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.74348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c3,119$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over71c3,046$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.6423363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Over37c2,967$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.097744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over74c2,963$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.3425865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under40c2,932$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.8564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over71c2,870$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.6259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under7c2,865$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7822029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under62c2,837$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.8429646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Under18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over66c2,704$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.368058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over38c2,680$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.512248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over37c2,624$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.0528025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under14c2,505$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.77431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under40c2,501$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.6143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Over66c2,500$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86014553.8%78 W · 67 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c2,493$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.992,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…d510backed Under32c2,372$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7599045.6%41 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over73c2,300$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.997358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over37c2,222$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.8614348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under27c2,215$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.092,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5c95backed Over77c2,194$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.274035%14 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over30c2,181$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.841,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under63c2,160$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.825857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over72c2,132$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.6935658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over38c2,105$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.267859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over38c2,101$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.9684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked Over63c2,000$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7451838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0561…51c7backed Over37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2604250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over62c1,894$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71610157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over37c1,892$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.8930140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under1c1,875$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7540240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c1,837$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3721314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under1c1,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over68c1,741$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.054447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over73c1,729$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.254341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over75c1,727$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.5528964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over37c1,722$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.322,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over55c1,688$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.191,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under63c1,681$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.833348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c1,678$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.41,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Over39c1,663$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.627835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under16c1,660$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26624849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.