TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$456,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$543,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c85,972$43,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,328.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over48c51,901$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,901.4719644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Over48c31,299$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,299.332748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under52c29,998$15,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,599.0774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under52c25,970$13,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,601.034,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c24,370$11,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,072.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c20,000$10,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,474.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over79c15,909$12,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.075669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.7310840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c9,948$4,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.824,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under25c7,958$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.852,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c7,934$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,190.792,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under54c7,398$3,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,976.0129232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under53c6,306$3,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.17337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over48c6,252$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.5815034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c5,589$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.522,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Over47c4,299$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.461346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick27cpaid+97.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over58c3,736$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.681,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over48c3,583$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.239253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under54c3,373$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.213,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over44c2,800$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over47c2,553$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.1915650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Over78c2,429$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.866969.6%48 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c1,808$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.441,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over47c1,598$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.522,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over78c1,597$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.367653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over47c1,441$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.5432922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Over48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6504351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over48c1,199$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.525754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Over43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.797327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Under62c1,081$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6702846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8310448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8326644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over44c1,033$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.957949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over48c1,019$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.925930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over47c999.99$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under53c999.95$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9746546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b82…2291backed Over48c976.1$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.575145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over49c806.45$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.452751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over47c768.6$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.3619545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under53c752.14$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Over47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.685740.4%23 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over64c710.49$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.631,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over72c693.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1116750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under52c690.97$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7148152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over38c673$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1916725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.322449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.314235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c623.59$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.683,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over47c606.63$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.542,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over43c604.92$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1447744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over48c588.77$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.168831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c586.79$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c565.8$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under53c541.64$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.881,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under52c500.98$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27040515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9912140.5%49 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c489.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.892,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c478.48$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.771,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c473.03$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.252,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under54c458.75$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.078942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c448.93$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.291,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c437.79$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.768,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Over48c401.44$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.751625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x705b…a7b9backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2124936.7%18 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22429042.1%122 W · 168 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Under54c388.89$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over69c385.51$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.518156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over49c365.91$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.879573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.645735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Over56c356.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6914531.7%46 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over46c349$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8114440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Over29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under41c343.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.672,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1516946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over45c314.87$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1840240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over73c313.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7141968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0ea5…4d18backed Over47c310$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.33324.2%8 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under52c306.17$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.681,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Over76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726653%35 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15926921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Over43c299.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9912045%54 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over71c298$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7658642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over58c297.55$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.721,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb56b…9358backed Over52c296.21$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.383125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over62c283.62$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6211555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under53c277$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8145038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0684…87a3backed Over48c269.77$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7717231.4%54 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Over45c250.94$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0210026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509939.4%39 W · 60 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd3…d573backed Over43c231.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.952751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.