Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03333cba94ad7239a0f3fb0215d1a480d530f86940b4da55c9ae214f0b200b57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 5c | 26,142$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.89 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 5c | 10,231$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.3 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…1b74backed Over | 5c | 6,130$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.45 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 7c | 5,231$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…6d81backed Over | 4c | 5,196$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…8429backed Over | 4c | 4,142$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Over | 5c | 3,806$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 7c | 3,787$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 13c | 3,157$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.43 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…4665backed Over | 4c | 2,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Over | 4c | 2,342$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 4c | 2,233$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…3690backed Over | 5c | 1,875$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 3c | 1,611$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 1,595$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 4c | 1,188$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 4c | 1,110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…b302backed Over | 5c | 1,087$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…e220backed Over | 4c | 1,060$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…e142backed Over | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 5c | 606.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…6ad3backed Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f8ccbacked Over | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…8fa1backed Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…7939backed Over | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…5ca8backed Over | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 15c | 358.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…e7f0backed Over | 5c | 296.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Over | 7c | 287.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 5c | 276.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 13c | 255.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 7c | 252.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4b75backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 23c | 222$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32d…1d8abacked Over | 5c | 204.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…c957backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…ebe5backed Over | 13c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…1158backed Over | 13c | 155.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Over | 28c | 41.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…8e8abacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5this page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.