TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$342,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Over41c48,657$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,857.2214248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over40c46,798$18,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,911.111855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c35,216$11,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,049.593,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c27,667$17,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,2744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Under70c22,290$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,5006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under59c17,500$10,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,324.9774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under60c13,370$8,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,021.9286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under59c7,133$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,208.621,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over40c6,733$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.872,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c6,000$3,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,545.541,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36e…12d8backed Under60c5,001$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.442934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over41c4,878$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.0531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over40c3,179$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.3411851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c3,130$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.62,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under62c2,848$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Over40c2,574$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over35c2,366$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.372,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under60c2,336$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.712,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Over41c2,319$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.6613721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under61c2,103$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.319233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c2,053$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.732,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20025857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under63c1,555$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.7843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c1,475$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.5924917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under59c1,442$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.783,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick66cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0111…1071backed Over33c1,322$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.851266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+51.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over41c1,227$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.115440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under56c1,226$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.3861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under66c1,200$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under42c1,160$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.42,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77be…89a9backed Under63c1,108$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under62c1,057$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.658243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over44c1,033$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under59c1,017$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2138745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60013447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under60c995$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…1398backed Over41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.61825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over44c903.53$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.9820150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ad6…34c6backed Under60c888$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.83636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52518742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under60c816.66$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Over36c797.98$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.984829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eaa…38cbbacked Over40c732.93$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over40c700$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41711946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over64c699.53$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.941968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under15c687.5$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over40c650.4$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.241,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.346223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under60c531.67$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31912559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8212040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34512241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30534247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over29c499.96$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.978748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.89044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.818936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under11c487.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under62c478.31$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.96640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under64c466.41$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d4…a750backed Over39c461.54$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.542927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over40c407.26$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3629558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24012724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under61c375.24$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6769744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under61c374.48$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.523637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over20c355.35$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4434924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under59c353.49$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under59c353.49$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.881,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under59c342.37$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.28942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Under65c302.55$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.669064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Under76c299.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9921439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe512…43d1backed Over35c282.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.141833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Over41c250.54$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.821060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16519448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under59c245.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14525049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.98338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.927742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over41c235.34$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.853447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over41c235$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6511247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under27c233.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.52,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over40c232.15$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.297850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under59c220$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over39c200.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5319545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12421166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under66c199.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9726647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over39c198.54$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.531,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over21c185.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under54c174.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1706…3eb7backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007542.7%32 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.