Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d32812bafd23718f2b1ec80f5738e7727598fe4025ff04ebd4d9e990ec5ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 6,710$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.08 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,733$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Over | 34c | 1,995$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.27 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 33c | 1,607$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.69 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Under | 70c | 760.58$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1a4dbacked Over | 53c | 752.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 33c | 687.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.75 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 683.01$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.47 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 27c | 666.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.77 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 38c | 641.52$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.11 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 32c | 633.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.3 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 621.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…fb07backed Over | 35c | 527.08$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 33c | 491.39$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.23 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…4aa3backed Over | 33c | 455.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.32 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Under | 68c | 365.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 317.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…6952backed Over | 32c | 301.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…1f3bbacked Over | 33c | 265.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…8badbacked Over | 34c | 263.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…fc5abacked Over | 22c | 254.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 29cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Over | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 33c | 218.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 194.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 66c | 194.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 37c | 162.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Under | 65c | 161.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 32c | 145$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…1818backed Over | 33c | 89.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…9997backed Over | 17c | 71.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…4906backed Over | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 63.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4974…4422backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Over | 36c | 55.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 44c | 48.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 44c | 45.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 33c | 43.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +20.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…b7babacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 46c | 26.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 68c | 21.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 68c | 21.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 68c | 19.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Under | 69c | 18.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.