TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UAB Blazers vs. Memphis Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UAB Blazersof UAB Blazers, Memphis Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x691a…d113backed Memphis Tigers14c11,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9922043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Memphis Tigers16c8,152$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.3769142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UAB Blazers32c6,980$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,757.551,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UAB Blazers77c6,909$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.182,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UAB Blazers74c5,304$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.355,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UAB Blazers80c3,870$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.794,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Memphis Tigers70c3,661$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.341,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Memphis Tigers69c3,381$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.8312251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Memphis Tigers68c3,129$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.830249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed UAB Blazers32c3,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.665238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Memphis Tigers69c3,042$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.241,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Memphis Tigers67c1,700$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.122,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed UAB Blazers31c1,579$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.631,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UAB Blazers31c1,555$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.952,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed UAB Blazers52c1,544$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.761241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Memphis Tigers20c1,478$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked UAB Blazers40c1,424$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.0361446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UAB Blazers66c1,366$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.633,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Memphis Tigers27c1,357$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Memphis Tigers69c1,323$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.867656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UAB Blazers30c1,305$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.681,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed UAB Blazers56c1,246$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.854057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Memphis Tigers69c1,154$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.2613746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked UAB Blazers35c999.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9925130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed UAB Blazers31c908$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6234351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Memphis Tigers59c784.19$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.695,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Memphis Tigers12c736.91$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8310043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UAB Blazers30c641.57$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Memphis Tigers9c609.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.925325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Memphis Tigers73c605.93$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.331,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Memphis Tigers69c599.99$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41416147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed UAB Blazers35c573.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7723941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Memphis Tigers69c571.16$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.421,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Memphis Tigers17c509$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Memphis Tigers66c499.32$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.5881453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf5f…56a0backed UAB Blazers33c459.3$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.734334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Memphis Tigers36c450.27$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9636535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UAB Blazers73c429.45$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.52,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UAB Blazers54c424.67$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Memphis Tigers66c422.12$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Memphis Tigers22c401.64$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked UAB Blazers31c399.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.991,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Memphis Tigers9c382.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.817530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed UAB Blazers36c363.89$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8925049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Memphis Tigers22c347.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.72,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Memphis Tigers7c333$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3116436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ee…56f1backed Memphis Tigers69c331.39$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9d6…b98cbacked Memphis Tigers70c325.71$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Memphis Tigers22c302.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UAB Blazers35c299.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked UAB Blazers33c299.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9993941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Memphis Tigers20c294.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2517627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed UAB Blazers33c275.49$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Memphis Tigers65c271.54$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.53844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Memphis Tigers19c264$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.722,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed UAB Blazers47c245$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8515243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UAB Blazers63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Memphis Tigers65c226.72$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UAB Blazers80c221$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.623,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UAB Blazers59c204.63$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.761,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Memphis Tigers10c201.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2114049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Memphis Tigers14c200.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1353635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…df01backed UAB Blazers35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+138.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x227d…5507backed Memphis Tigers65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6900…9a4bbacked UAB Blazers35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce0…ff19backed UAB Blazers35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x476a…dd44backed Memphis Tigers65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UAB Blazers35c199.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked UAB Blazers44c196.79$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0710347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UAB Blazers34c147.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.054,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed UAB Blazers32c139.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1412141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Memphis Tigers69c110$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed UAB Blazers48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176346%29 W · 34 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x534b…370bbacked UAB Blazers35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8236…6479backed Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1f…039dbacked UAB Blazers35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+52.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7af8…f7acbacked UAB Blazers35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f5d…3458backed UAB Blazers35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Memphis Tigers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2b…e567backed UAB Blazers35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd032…f665backed Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbce…c3b4backed UAB Blazers35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2840…638cbacked Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac6…5995backed Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+85.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa341…0aeabacked Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb80d…0f4ebacked Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x981a…ef4fbacked UAB Blazers35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf547…4d4fbacked Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f36…55dfbacked Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e8…1842backed Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x897c…747abacked Memphis Tigers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x888f…d6aebacked UAB Blazers35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Memphis Tigers15c99.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x434b…adb4backed Memphis Tigers48c97.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Memphis Tigers58c95.26$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.924,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed UAB Blazers33c95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7249157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a45…f81bbacked UAB Blazers77c93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed UAB Blazers31c87.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.120051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed UAB Blazers36c83.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.757236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed UAB Blazers31c80.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8335243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.