TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Duke Blue Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,701 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb44f…8c20backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish1c19,995$140 inLost-$139.975238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0042…321ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish6c10,980$615 inLost-$614.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish3c3,877$100 inLost-$99.9114930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish5c1,668$89 inLost-$88.631,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish3c1,490$46 inLost-$45.53,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish6c860.42$50 inLost-$49.99711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish6c851.51$50 inLost-$49.94057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish5c843.07$39 inLost-$39.4192246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish4c803.99$31 inLost-$30.712,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish2c665.06$12 inLost-$11.7587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish6c541.88$32 inLost-$31.945514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe694…8823backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish3c509.2$17 inLost-$16.9728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish7c499.41$33 inLost-$33.052,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish5c499.17$25 inLost-$24.9681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish5c230.62$12 inLost-$11.533,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish5c226.01$11 inLost-$11.491,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish5c213.89$11 inLost-$11.1838837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish5c200$10 inLost-$10.21,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.