TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Buffalo Bulls vs. Akron Zips

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Akron Zipsof Buffalo Bulls, Akron Zips
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,775 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a7a…15a4backed Buffalo Bulls9c10,906$997 inLost-$997.0935151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Buffalo Bulls10c1,154$110 inLost-$109.674057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Buffalo Bulls9c1,108$100 inLost-$99.719711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2922…30f1backed Buffalo Bulls7c1,000$70 inLost-$7040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Buffalo Bulls10c996.86$99 inLost-$99.4910622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Buffalo Bulls14c699.58$101 inLost-$100.5839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Buffalo Bulls10c500$48 inLost-$482,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Buffalo Bulls3c455.71$15 inLost-$14.533246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Buffalo Bulls10c433.05$43 inLost-$42.7612141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Buffalo Bulls8c374.03$30 inLost-$29.922630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Buffalo Bulls11c373.77$40 inLost-$39.8524649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Buffalo Bulls16c309.6$50 inLost-$49.542828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Buffalo Bulls15c306.98$46 inLost-$46.053,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Buffalo Bulls13c244.53$32 inLost-$32.0714027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Buffalo Bulls7c199.94$14 inLost-$1438837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Buffalo Bulls9c199.43$18 inLost-$17.951,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Buffalo Bulls18c198.98$35 inLost-$35.4214151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Buffalo Bulls16c189.96$31 inLost-$30.5477142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Buffalo Bulls8c132.38$10 inLost-$10.487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Buffalo Bulls8c126.62$10 inLost-$10.435,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Buffalo Bulls9c111.68$10 inLost-$10.053520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.