TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stanford Cardinalof Pittsburgh Panthers, Stanford Cardinal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers26c16,195$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,207.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stanford Cardinal76c8,400$6,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.451,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal71c6,774$4,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.872,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stanford Cardinal79c3,333$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.042,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal69c2,959$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.383,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Stanford Cardinal61c2,608$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.922,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers39c2,321$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.094,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Panthers35c2,093$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.434,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pittsburgh Panthers29c2,086$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.181,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Pittsburgh Panthers27c1,897$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.171,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers21c1,711$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Pittsburgh Panthers22c1,632$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.7824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stanford Cardinal70c1,521$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.023,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Stanford Cardinal76c1,407$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.671,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Stanford Cardinal80c1,220$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.042352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers25c997.38$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.142045%9 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Stanford Cardinal67c823.01$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Stanford Cardinal75c666.94$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.582,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Pittsburgh Panthers18c600$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104025%10 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Stanford Cardinal59c545.63$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Pittsburgh Panthers20c500$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9855532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Panthers25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Pittsburgh Panthers28c483.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Pittsburgh Panthers24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9630649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Pittsburgh Panthers21c379.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7658652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe86d…c9eebacked Stanford Cardinal79c372.07$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.133473.5%25 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Stanford Cardinal78c356.15$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.381,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Stanford Cardinal65c327.97$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Stanford Cardinal53c285.49$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Pittsburgh Panthers17c266.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.773135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers19c245.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6837441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers40c239.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.495,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Stanford Cardinal24c232.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9412540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stanford Cardinal66c219.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.61,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pittsburgh Panthers28c209.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.721,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Stanford Cardinal77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Panthers24c199.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.911,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers21c198.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7638837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Stanford Cardinal75c130.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7140755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Pittsburgh Panthers21c126.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5824737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Stanford Cardinal36c124.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0536535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Stanford Cardinal80c121.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers23c108.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8535646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Pittsburgh Panthers22c90.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8831647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Stanford Cardinal79c87.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3630054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Stanford Cardinal79c86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0243053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Panthers22c82.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.111,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pittsburgh Panthers40c79.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7157655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stanford Cardinal31c76.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.271,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Pittsburgh Panthers22c76.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8362140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Stanford Cardinal75c75.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8817945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Stanford Cardinal79c62.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.054,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Pittsburgh Panthers22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Stanford Cardinal75c58.26$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5612846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers35c57.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.799747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Pittsburgh Panthers36c55.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.844057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…4a48backed Pittsburgh Panthers22c49.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.935520%11 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Stanford Cardinal56c48.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.527055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Stanford Cardinal64c46.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6125239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Pittsburgh Panthers33c43.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.245433.3%18 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Pittsburgh Panthers44c36.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0919348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Panthers34c33.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.181,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc250…5eafbacked Stanford Cardinal72c32.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.042161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Stanford Cardinal80c31.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.269470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Stanford Cardinal54c29.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.642055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers39c27.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.823246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Pittsburgh Panthers45c27.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Stanford Cardinal58c24.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Stanford Cardinal75c24.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1518557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Stanford Cardinal58c23.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.912,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Stanford Cardinal74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9115066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers64c21.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.971,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e16…fe0abacked Stanford Cardinal79c19.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.184669.6%32 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick77cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2dd6backed Stanford Cardinal75c16.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.063455.9%19 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Stanford Cardinal75c14.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.