Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Veronika Erjavec vs Tamara Zidansek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4544c1a9380732a1f885251c8a9f58939bbe73d4acc633bca460f2da72e3f639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zidansekof Erjavec, Zidansek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Erjavec | 6c | 8,063$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.37 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Erjavec | 22c | 6,509$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zidansek | 80c | 2,982$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Zidansek | 58c | 2,550$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.76 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Erjavec | 20c | 1,771$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.56 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…525abacked Erjavec | 15c | 1,544$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Erjavec | 19c | 1,249$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Erjavec | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zidansek | 75c | 708.38$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Erjavec | 42c | 614$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Erjavec | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Erjavec | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Erjavec | 26c | 247.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Erjavec | 38c | 164.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Zidansek | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Erjavec | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Zidansek | 63c | 146.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Erjavec | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Zidansek | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Erjavec | 43c | 84.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…bd85backed Zidansek | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Zidansek | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Erjavec | 44c | 65.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed Erjavec | 44c | 65.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Erjavec | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Erjavec | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Erjavec | 43c | 31.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…a25dbacked Zidansek | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Zidansek | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…aa48backed Zidansek | 69c | 18.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Zidansek | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zidansek | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Transylvania Open: Veronika Erjavec vs Tamara Zidansekthis page
- Erjavec vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Erjavec vs. Zidansek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Erjavec vs. Zidansek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Erjavec vs. Zidansek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Erjavec vs ZidansekZidansek won
- Set Handicap: Zidansek (-1.5) vs Erjavec (+1.5)Zidansek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.