Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4458972c945eea8a2db075348872cc0a92d162cf66770ccaa084f134c642da9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Belmont Bruins, Murray State Racers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Murray State Racers | 47c | 15,796$7,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,492.44 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Belmont Bruins | 52c | 11,542$5,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Belmont Bruins | 35c | 7,172$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.6 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…cc34backed Belmont Bruins | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a6…7189backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 5,699$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Murray State Racers | 59c | 5,364$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Belmont Bruins | 53c | 4,467$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.2 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Belmont Bruins | 45c | 4,080$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.19 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 3,802$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.67 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Belmont Bruins | 53c | 3,630$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.03 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Murray State Racers | 49c | 3,222$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.54 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Belmont Bruins | 15c | 2,711$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Murray State Racers | 55c | 2,708$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.38 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Belmont Bruins | 46c | 2,554$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Belmont Bruins | 34c | 2,459$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 2,198$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Belmont Bruins | 52c | 1,998$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.05 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Murray State Racers | 68c | 1,977$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Murray State Racers | 51c | 1,967$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Belmont Bruins | 53c | 1,930$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.73 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Murray State Racers | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Belmont Bruins | 63c | 1,877$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.74 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Belmont Bruins | 21c | 1,837$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.4 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 1,737$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.97 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Murray State Racers | 47c | 1,662$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.17 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Murray State Racers | 7c | 1,540$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Murray State Racers | 3c | 1,505$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Murray State Racers | 34c | 1,467$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Belmont Bruins | 54c | 1,450$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.87 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 1,418$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.13 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Murray State Racers | 46c | 1,286$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Belmont Bruins | 54c | 1,205$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.3 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Murray State Racers | 67c | 1,173$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.18 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Murray State Racers | 51c | 1,144$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.3 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Belmont Bruins | 50c | 1,126$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 884.97$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Murray State Racers | 41c | 868.1$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Murray State Racers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…72f0backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Belmont Bruins | 44c | 762.9$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.97 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Murray State Racers | 80c | 751.76$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Murray State Racers | 49c | 750.49$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.3 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Belmont Bruins | 34c | 740.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.66 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Murray State Racers | 43c | 707.61$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.01 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Belmont Bruins | 60c | 691.69$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.78 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed Murray State Racers | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…85f6backed Murray State Racers | 47c | 659.49$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Belmont Bruins | 51c | 644$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.08 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Murray State Racers | 62c | 596.94$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Belmont Bruins | 49c | 586.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.55 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Belmont Bruins | 35c | 570.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.21 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Murray State Racers | 38c | 512.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Belmont Bruins | 43c | 500$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Belmont Bruins | 28c | 489.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.74 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 486$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murray State Racers | 59c | 462.44$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Murray State Racers | 58c | 393.14$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.82 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Belmont Bruins | 25c | 386.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.58 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Murray State Racers | 52c | 377$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Belmont Bruins | 27c | 370.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Belmont Bruins | 10c | 350$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Murray State Racers | 9c | 331.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Murray State Racers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Murray State Racers | 53c | 288$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Belmont Bruins | 77c | 267.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Murray State Racers | 22c | 262.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Murray State Racers | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Murray State Racers | 46c | 250.04$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Belmont Bruins | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Murray State Racers | 56c | 246.71$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Belmont Bruins | 54c | 244.26$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Belmont Bruins | 13c | 243.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Belmont Bruins | 32c | 239.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Belmont Bruins | 52c | 236.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…8715backed Belmont Bruins | 70c | 226.6$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Murray State Racers | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Murray State Racers | 46c | 223.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Belmont Bruins | 56c | 223.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Belmont Bruins | 30c | 220.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.26 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Murray State Racers | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Murray State Racers | 51c | 216.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Belmont Bruins | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Belmont Bruins | 22c | 211$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Murray State Racers | 47c | 210.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Belmont Bruins | 56c | 208.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Murray State Racers | 25c | 201$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Belmont Bruins | 47c | 200.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 199.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Murray State Racers | 49c | 187.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Belmont Bruins | 76c | 180.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Murray State Racers | 51c | 177$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Belmont Bruins | 51c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 167.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…7a8ebacked Belmont Bruins | 54c | 166.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Murray State Racers | 47c | 162.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 155.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Murray State Racers | 32c | 154.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Belmont Bruins | 50c | 147$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 141.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Belmont Bruins | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racersthis page
- Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 165.5Under won
- Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 166.5Under won
- Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Belmont Bruins (-1.5)Belmont Bruins won
- Spread: Murray State Racers (-1.5)Belmont Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.