Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4ce900f7f193506be42b30ca54add17e6e8b45a5ae54f22adaf50572ca8564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 14,052$7,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.22 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 10,094$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,240$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 54c | 545.11$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 45c | 492$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 45c | 211.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 47c | 112.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 101.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 48c | 93.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 44c | 69.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 44.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 54c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 48c | 24.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 167.5this page
- Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State RacersBelmont Bruins won
- Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 165.5Under won
- Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Belmont Bruins (-1.5)Belmont Bruins won
- Spread: Murray State Racers (-1.5)Belmont Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.