TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Idaho Vandals vs. Sacramento State Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Idaho Vandalsof Idaho Vandals, Sacramento State Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Sacramento State Hornets22c55,269$12,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,363.75,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Idaho Vandals77c11,624$8,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.361,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Idaho Vandals78c10,590$8,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.542,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Idaho Vandals52c6,407$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.448544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Idaho Vandals80c6,160$4,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.471,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Sacramento State Hornets30c4,496$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.481,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Idaho Vandals76c3,802$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9142,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Idaho Vandals79c3,688$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.984351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Idaho Vandals79c3,676$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.7461446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Idaho Vandals73c3,501$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.043,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Idaho Vandals77c2,658$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.091421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-68.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Sacramento State Hornets31c2,468$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.151,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Idaho Vandals67c1,698$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.051553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Idaho Vandals76c1,548$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Idaho Vandals78c1,370$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.671,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Idaho Vandals77c1,049$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.163,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5150…3f69backed Idaho Vandals78c1,019$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.28100%8 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Idaho Vandals64c1,013$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3112045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Idaho Vandals73c940.8$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.64057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Idaho Vandals61c853$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.11,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Sacramento State Hornets37c654.47$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7412230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Idaho Vandals76c621.19$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.032245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0324…fdbcbacked Idaho Vandals70c538.2$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.392458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Sacramento State Hornets39c506.08$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Sacramento State Hornets13c473.42$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Sacramento State Hornets6c471.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sacramento State Hornets39c443.12$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.772,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Idaho Vandals61c424$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Idaho Vandals64c388.5$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.744,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Idaho Vandals76c384$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1284854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Idaho Vandals61c325.09$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sacramento State Hornets39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.72,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Idaho Vandals79c283.61$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.611457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Sacramento State Hornets41c281$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sacramento State Hornets39c269.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sacramento State Hornets32c257$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.241,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Idaho Vandals61c247.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Sacramento State Hornets8c245.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7210347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Idaho Vandals72c231$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Idaho Vandals66c230.3$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.31560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Idaho Vandals80c218$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.622157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Sacramento State Hornets34c215.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.231947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Idaho Vandals75c213.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.333568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Idaho Vandals50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Sacramento State Hornets40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Idaho Vandals73c191.02$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sacramento State Hornets36c183.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.511,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Idaho Vandals62c162.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.95,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44e5…3c33backed Idaho Vandals66c161$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Idaho Vandals62c161$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1813743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Idaho Vandals66c142.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.462245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sacramento State Hornets25c123.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.791,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Sacramento State Hornets26c121.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x309a…a9c1backed Sacramento State Hornets25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb02e…0670backed Idaho Vandals75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sacramento State Hornets36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3693941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Idaho Vandals61c98.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sacramento State Hornets28c95.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.324,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sacramento State Hornets28c86.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0717627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Idaho Vandals72c84.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.73464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79a…9167backed Sacramento State Hornets36c78.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sacramento State Hornets38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.081,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Idaho Vandals64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x968b…e4c5backed Sacramento State Hornets28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.733345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976b…cf45backed Sacramento State Hornets38c58.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Idaho Vandals80c54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86272.6%45 W · 17 L+10.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Sacramento State Hornets28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1427358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeff…7353backed Sacramento State Hornets36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Idaho Vandals64c43.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.543354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Idaho Vandals72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.679153.8%49 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Idaho Vandals63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8c…53d5backed Idaho Vandals67c39.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Idaho Vandals64c39.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Sacramento State Hornets39c37.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6119860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Sacramento State Hornets52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Sacramento State Hornets41c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6661244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Idaho Vandals75c24.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2210353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Idaho Vandals75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2931666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Idaho Vandals75c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.911,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Idaho Vandals75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Idaho Vandals71c18.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.267176.1%54 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff7…0521backed Idaho Vandals62c17.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.