Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f288fac67e70ad2db3848c781bd2b36b09df28d229e6a851de6c5875be7f1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michigan Chippewasof Bowling Green Falcons, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 32c | 2,399$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bowling Green Falcons | 60c | 1,223$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.97 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 58c | 1,208$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.78 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 899.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 10c | 594.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 73c | 544$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.12 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 79c | 445.06$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bowling Green Falcons | 58c | 380.24$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.23 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 315$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bowling Green Falcons | 60c | 216.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Bowling Green Falcons | 65c | 210$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bowling Green Falcons | 45c | 188.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 171.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bowling Green Falcons | 51c | 152$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bowling Green Falcons | 13c | 144.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 18c | 121.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bowling Green Falcons | 60c | 121$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 79c | 117.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 47c | 107.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +478.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 37c | 67.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 34c | 67.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 27c | 39.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bowling Green Falcons | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 79c | 25.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 54c | 19.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.