Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc58037e8076a0757465ccf97a4d36b2b6c8b4a45539a30065837b8b550e08210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd5d…05f7backed Yes | 0c | 16,048$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 10c | 3,073$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.53 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…5bb7backed Yes | 36c | 2,730$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…c62bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,726$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7e…d55abacked No | 64c | 1,420$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6502…a320backed No | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…3463backed No | 64c | 1,326$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdf…98cfbacked No | 64c | 1,310$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 73c | 1,134$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.93 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…cf3bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,032$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed Yes | 35c | 1,011$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.14 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 2c | 746.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 25c | 731.79$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 21c | 696.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.72 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 25c | 449.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 384.72$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 20c | 331.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 23c | 306.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 34c | 296.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 11c | 287.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 25c | 283.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 70c | 278$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 38c | 272.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 27c | 270.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 27c | 270$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 69c | 253.66$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 26c | 235.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed No | 71c | 233.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 16c | 230.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 19c | 206.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 67c | 200.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…bac2backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…665fbacked Yes | 16c | 182.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e61…eaeebacked No | 69c | 174.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 34c | 171.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 70c | 143.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 65c | 141.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b2…e50abacked No | 74c | 135.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 13c | 119.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked No | 76c | 119$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…7a0ebacked Yes | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked No | 69c | 105.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked No | 76c | 93.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 26c | 91.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…a738backed No | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a67…5773backed Yes | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…7d41backed Yes | 25c | 84.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03bb…cb41backed Yes | 36c | 83.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…4fb2backed No | 68c | 82.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 90 | 76.7%69 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 76c | 81.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 62c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 75.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9d0bbacked Yes | 34c | 73.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…dcebbacked Yes | 35c | 71.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 65c | 71.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed No | 78c | 70.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…bf35backed Yes | 31c | 68.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 30c | 67.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c7ebacked Yes | 25c | 65.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b0…bbaebacked Yes | 40c | 63.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2520…b197backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…ee19backed Yes | 34c | 58.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 76c | 57.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 55.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 38c | 52.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed Yes | 29c | 51.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 60c | 51.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…3152backed No | 78c | 50.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…a9c1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…844fbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…bc3abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…43f6backed Yes | 25c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 80c | 46.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…4572backed Yes | 33c | 43.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 435 | 15.2%66 W · 369 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc5…d5e3backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fd…f76bbacked Yes | 36c | 33.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked No | 75c | 33.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on February 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.