Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9313861dc021f86a8092556fff7f0e786bd1a75acca9f0e53d7e38488b14ebc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x809c…4861backed No | 0c | 6,173$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 34c | 2,440$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.88 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 11c | 2,125$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…7d41backed Yes | 27c | 1,219$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 14c | 799.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.92 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 28c | 658.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.58 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 25c | 658.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.34 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 62c | 633.11$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.83 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 14c | 576.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.62 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 74c | 502.88$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.69 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 80c | 472.4$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.18 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 23c | 468.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 27c | 458.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.08 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 38c | 399.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 6c | 359.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 13c | 355.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.64 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 27c | 348.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.05 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 44c | 346.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.1 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 64c | 340.67$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 22c | 311.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…5bb6backed Yes | 24c | 306.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.91 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked No | 72c | 300$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.15 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 26c | 280.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.43 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 18c | 267.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 37c | 260.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 16c | 256.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.78 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 18c | 255.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.52 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 20c | 254.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.93 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 7c | 242.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 21c | 241.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 16c | 221.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 15c | 214.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked Yes | 17c | 211.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked No | 50c | 210.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…44dfbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed No | 79c | 191$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 39c | 168.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 147.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 10c | 137.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…eea3backed Yes | 12c | 126.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 77c | 122$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 76c | 113.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 113.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fd…f76bbacked No | 17c | 103.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…2c96backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 53c | 86.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…959ebacked No | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed Yes | 18c | 79.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked No | 79c | 76.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 20c | 74.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…5d2dbacked Yes | 22c | 72.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 37c | 72.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 44c | 71.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a89…0e5dbacked No | 77c | 66.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 43c | 63.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 18c | 62.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes | 65c | 57.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…844fbacked Yes | 22c | 54.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 46c | 52.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked Yes | 26c | 51.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked No | 76c | 51.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…3152backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…37dfbacked No | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…97efbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked Yes | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…bd1fbacked No | 47c | 35.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…8a56backed No | 63c | 35.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 57c | 35.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 48c | 34.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a67…5773backed Yes | 32c | 30.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…5ea0backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed No | 76c | 25.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbe…e620backed No | 80c | 25.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed No | 42c | 24.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…0506backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…bab5backed No | 72c | 20.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…92ebbacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on February 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.