TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1672…03f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST5635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.83
Will Trump say "Messi" 3+ times during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Will Trump say "Iran" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+161.3%+$102.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$57.26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C or higher on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+60%+$114.11
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 1°C on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$722.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+36.4%+$37.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+159.7%+$26.62
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be -1°C or below on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$617.84
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.42
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or higher on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$128.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+269.4%+$254.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or higher on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.9%+$36.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$48.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$61.76
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+91.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$41.64
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.03
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.56
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.2
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.45
All 7 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.19
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.6%+$3.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.7%+$5.58
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+70.4%+$16.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.71
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$169.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Solana Sierra vs Akasha Urhobobacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$130.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.