Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c1bbe6de04916a7dc77aeabb118134cc86d4b4dc5207454e4907b71a6fcfb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed Yes | 14c | 2,309$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.16 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8828…ffd7backed Yes | 1c | 1,685$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…9802backed No | 76c | 1,054$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.05 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 5c | 999.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 43c | 698.81$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.68 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 6c | 523.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 54c | 466.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 34c | 426.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 37c | 390.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 342.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed No | 57c | 330.93$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 10c | 327.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 27c | 308.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 14c | 294.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 53c | 249.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 235$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 49c | 226.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 48c | 210.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 55c | 196.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 28c | 186.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 62c | 161.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 39c | 158.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…2c96backed Yes | 39c | 153.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 151.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 51c | 146.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…6041backed Yes | 59c | 136.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 45c | 135.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 48c | 129.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…5bb6backed Yes | 52c | 124.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…b9a3backed Yes | 47c | 124.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 57c | 121.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 43c | 114.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 52c | 110.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 39c | 109.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 43c | 109.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 64c | 108.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…2be0backed No | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 80c | 104.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 56c | 100.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked No | 69c | 98.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 57c | 97.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9ba7backed Yes | 46c | 91.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 50c | 88.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 45c | 87.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 51c | 82.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 36c | 82.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 37c | 79.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…722ebacked Yes | 55c | 72.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 39c | 72.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afe…2efdbacked Yes | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe273…e74bbacked Yes | 57c | 70.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…665fbacked Yes | 44c | 67.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 63c | 60.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd095…4d12backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 32c | 59.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 35c | 59.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 60c | 59.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 42c | 59.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked No | 58c | 58.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…ca76backed Yes | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…bca0backed Yes | 61c | 57.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 39c | 57.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 52c | 55.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 29c | 54.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 41c | 53.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 48c | 51.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…0062backed Yes | 58c | 51.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 58c | 51.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…7afabacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 37.7%46 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 56c | 46.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…9c94backed Yes | 52c | 45.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 44c | 45.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 43.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ce95backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…dcd0backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 39c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 43c | 39.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed No | 60c | 38.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 45c | 37.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 60c | 36.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…9483backed Yes | 55c | 36.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 52c | 34.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 38c | 33.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.