Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37cf1fa269fa40f9ab34246aeeef8ac397888d2563057057786a5a16fb8c6a5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa480…ca9ebacked No | 0c | 3,394$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 5c | 1,564$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 23c | 1,186$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.09 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,015$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.98 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 74c | 506.27$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 35c | 505.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 25c | 499.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.66 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 8c | 457.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 71c | 424.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 64c | 405.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.97 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 73c | 390.56$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 14c | 372.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked Yes | 24c | 367.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.04 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 6c | 359.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed Yes | 27c | 338.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.72 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 52c | 329.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 60c | 320.02$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 55c | 291.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 77c | 259.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 32c | 245.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5b…67a9backed Yes | 22c | 241.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 236.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 24c | 225.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 29c | 219.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 218.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 208.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked No | 78c | 204.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 18c | 181.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…6041backed Yes | 61c | 167.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked No | 13c | 154.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 70c | 151.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 33c | 144$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 141.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 73c | 140.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 49c | 137.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b0…bbaebacked Yes | 28c | 131.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 68c | 129.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…9c0abacked No | 79c | 127.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…17e5backed No | 80c | 125.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…a738backed No | 78c | 119.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…b9a3backed Yes | 43c | 113.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…bca0backed Yes | 24c | 113.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 30c | 109.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 16c | 109.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 28c | 108.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 75c | 107.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…bac2backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…2be0backed No | 22c | 91.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9ba7backed Yes | 33c | 88.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…3853backed Yes | 60c | 83.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…f0f4backed Yes | 45c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed No | 72c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…5c16backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…5bb6backed Yes | 55c | 76.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe273…e74bbacked Yes | 32c | 76.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 25c | 75.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 14c | 74.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…f014backed No | 71c | 74.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 51c | 74.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…c703backed Yes | 43c | 72.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e61…eaeebacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…e574backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +75%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 27c | 69.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 69.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…f5c3backed Yes | 34c | 69.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 50c | 69.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fd…f76bbacked Yes | 32c | 68.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…c52cbacked Yes | 28c | 65.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 23c | 64.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Yes | 23c | 64.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…665fbacked Yes | 32c | 62.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b82…c4e7backed Yes | 60c | 61.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…bd1fbacked Yes | 65c | 58.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 17c | 57.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…dbc8backed Yes | 30c | 57.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 52c | 56.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 22c | 55.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 46c | 53.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked No | 67c | 53.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 23c | 53.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 31c | 51.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 20c | 50.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…fd95backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…43f6backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.