CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Drama eSports (BO1) - DraculaN Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91732b39cbc619ccc774ec7463f450801a6dc790494423128bf0a5d881e7949b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Drama eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 1,393$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.55 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 1,378$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.4 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Drama eSports | 39c | 1,108$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Drama eSports | 50c | 823.13$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.25 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drama eSports | 58c | 537.63$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.69 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Drama eSports | 56c | 526.22$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.67 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3b…ec45backed Drama eSports | 14c | 431$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Drama eSports | 39c | 415$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Drama eSports | 26c | 386.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 364.53$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Drama eSports | 42c | 358.02$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Drama eSports | 18c | 336.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 285$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 278.21$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 212.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…6d93backed Eternal Fire | 78c | 209.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 196.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Drama eSports | 40c | 186.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Drama eSports | 58c | 172.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 165.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Drama eSports | 44c | 164.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Drama eSports | 52c | 154.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Drama eSports | 36c | 139.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 120.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Drama eSports | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 99.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Drama eSports | 40c | 75.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Drama eSports | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Drama eSports | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Drama eSports | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 41.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Drama eSports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 32.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 28.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Drama eSports | 42c | 27.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…a70fbacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…cba2backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.