Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43d710fe831a498ce35f15661132120fd3e102197958de1914c8f7dcd6ad840a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 1c | 40,949$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.14 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked Yes | 22c | 2,231$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.57 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 22c | 1,477$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.28 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 75c | 1,241$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.54 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 690.3$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 13c | 621.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed Yes | 33c | 582.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 27c | 509$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 21c | 499.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8b…3b03backed Yes | 34c | 417.07$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 21c | 362.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 79c | 316.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…40c6backed Yes | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 21c | 222.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 23c | 199.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 196.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 76c | 193.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 171.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 159.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 31c | 153.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…4fb2backed No | 77c | 152.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 90 | 76.7%69 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…875bbacked Yes | 32c | 149.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…3c17backed Yes | 35c | 137.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 135.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 31c | 134.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 77c | 132.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 77c | 130.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…3f41backed No | 77c | 127.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 24c | 121.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 23c | 120.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 34c | 120.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 24c | 113.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…844fbacked Yes | 19c | 109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 24c | 103.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 75c | 103.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…bb0ebacked Yes | 36c | 103.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…8a4ebacked No | 78c | 102.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0586…7db3backed No | 68c | 102.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 101.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…ae24backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…dfc9backed Yes | 27c | 91.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…07f8backed Yes | 28c | 84.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…817ebacked Yes | 23c | 84.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 80c | 82.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…3fdbbacked No | 65c | 81.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 273 | 35.9%98 W · 175 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 32c | 76.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…8d60backed Yes | 28c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…dcebbacked Yes | 26c | 75.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 67c | 75.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 18c | 73.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 25c | 71.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…8c61backed Yes | 35c | 69.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…9d96backed Yes | 32c | 67.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…37cdbacked Yes | 30c | 65.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…b9a3backed No | 79c | 65.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…66a4backed Yes | 38c | 60.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…ca6dbacked Yes | 23c | 59.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…cf0bbacked Yes | 34c | 57.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95cb…5e6fbacked Yes | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 25c | 51.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed Yes | 22c | 51.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 27c | 51.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…eec2backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed No | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 32c | 48.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 25c | 48.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…bb3abacked Yes | 32c | 47.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018f…e8e6backed Yes | 36c | 46.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…8dc2backed Yes | 26c | 44.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…c3efbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…b152backed No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc552…c3abbacked Yes | 37c | 36.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 35c | 36.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…fc5cbacked Yes | 36c | 33.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…00e3backed Yes | 30c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 65c | 31.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0c…378bbacked Yes | 35c | 29.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…7195backed No | 78c | 29.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd4…888cbacked No | 50c | 28.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f29dbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 66c | 26.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 75c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 70c | 26.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.