Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3715ef21cdb74cda7a0eac581debca097926a0a284186e491808ce70146ab0f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 6c | 4,809$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 12c | 2,007$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,608$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,490$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,486$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 7c | 1,446$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked Yes | 12c | 1,352$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 8c | 1,255$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75c…fd4ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,228$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…8c61backed Yes | 20c | 1,156$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,152$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 3c | 996.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 941.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 10c | 926.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 9c | 924.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 7c | 888.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 17c | 838.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 5c | 836.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24dd…12afbacked Yes | 15c | 805.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f9…1a73backed No | 73c | 540$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 31 | 87.1%27 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 24c | 502$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked Yes | 21c | 465.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…9dbabacked Yes | 2c | 454.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 7c | 443.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 12c | 434.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 396.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 8c | 394.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 12c | 339.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 16c | 269.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 9c | 269.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 13c | 267.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 232.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 24c | 230$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…ed95backed Yes | 26c | 226.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 19c | 226.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…7d41backed Yes | 15c | 225.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 16c | 214.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 21c | 212.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 20c | 211.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 18c | 204.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…864abacked Yes | 13c | 181.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +401.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Yes | 10c | 179.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 6c | 175.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 16c | 174.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 30c | 164.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 19c | 161.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 24c | 161.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 17c | 150.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 17c | 138.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 137.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 15c | 132.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked No | 74c | 127.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…2219backed Yes | 15c | 126.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 21c | 126.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 32c | 125.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…8a4ebacked Yes | 26c | 124.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 20c | 117.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 72c | 116.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…c252backed Yes | 13c | 101$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…4095backed Yes | 18c | 100.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…9bfabacked Yes | 16c | 95.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 24c | 93.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e6…0f82backed Yes | 21c | 89.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…fd95backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f29dbacked Yes | 21c | 86.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 74c | 80.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…543fbacked Yes | 28c | 68.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6b69backed No | 74c | 67.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +138%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 15c | 66.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…0a31backed Yes | 23c | 64.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4e…d9e1backed Yes | 23c | 60.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…113cbacked Yes | 20c | 60.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…844fbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed Yes | 20c | 57.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…0062backed Yes | 23c | 56.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…9436backed Yes | 24c | 47.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 80c | 43.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…0f58backed Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…fc5cbacked Yes | 30c | 40.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…0c8cbacked No | 77c | 38.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 169 | 24.3%41 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…3c17backed No | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…eec2backed No | 80c | 28.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…a8f1backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…bb2ebacked No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b43…a3d4backed No | 79c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.