Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x574d9df590ee869c8645e124d3040d6c9b24b080c885ae373b3b0d9eb623746d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked No | 3c | 2,903$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…1626backed No | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 7c | 1,423$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…27dbbacked Yes | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 2c | 1,104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 16c | 1,015$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…74eebacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 76c | 699.7$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.38 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 7c | 621.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…b9a3backed Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…145cbacked No | 33c | 600$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…98c1backed No | 4c | 475.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 63c | 463.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.78 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 45c | 431.09$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.69 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…8c61backed Yes | 65c | 418.74$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 75c | 378.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked Yes | 70c | 360.13$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa685…c2b3backed No | 25c | 336.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 60c | 331.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 16c | 327.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 46c | 321.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 65c | 305.09$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…4743backed No | 49c | 256.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 79c | 252.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 75c | 245.09$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 71c | 244.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 46c | 244.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 74c | 237.37$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 47c | 236.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 72c | 208.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 44c | 208.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 52c | 208.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…3fdbbacked No | 14c | 207$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 273 | 35.9%98 W · 175 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 72c | 204.22$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 54c | 198.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 78c | 197.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 34c | 193.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 76c | 187.2$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 65c | 177.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 45c | 174.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…722ebacked Yes | 59c | 170.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 54c | 160.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 61c | 158.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…19d4backed Yes | 64c | 153.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 43c | 146.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…d96ebacked Yes | 65c | 139.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…f53bbacked No | 47c | 138.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 76c | 137.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 165 | 20.6%34 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…5bb6backed Yes | 77c | 133.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 32c | 129.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 79c | 127.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 55c | 126.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 73c | 121.12$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 50c | 117.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 115.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 40c | 108.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7887…3683backed No | 44c | 104.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…507abacked Yes | 63c | 102.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 26c | 98.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…07f8backed Yes | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed No | 16c | 89.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e6…0f82backed Yes | 46c | 89.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 38c | 87.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 52c | 85.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…77bebacked Yes | 60c | 83.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…f335backed No | 32c | 75.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…b136backed Yes | 75c | 72.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 56c | 70.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…21c4backed No | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…97efbacked No | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…2be0backed No | 46c | 69.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…7e95backed No | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 49c | 64.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 62c | 64.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…4095backed Yes | 49c | 64.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…f014backed No | 36c | 62.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…d33fbacked No | 42c | 61.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 58c | 58.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 55c | 57.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed Yes | 69c | 56.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed Yes | 54c | 55.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked Yes | 67c | 54.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Yes | 53c | 53.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…eec2backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed No | 39c | 47.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd9…3ffabacked Yes | 57c | 47.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cb…5e6fbacked Yes | 49c | 47.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…5ccdbacked Yes | 61c | 46.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.