NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76295d618c4f7de5621c0eaba15e4e77f57e00cec09c02c9cdd3619b43480344

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,423,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,527,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,423,898 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Wizards	17c	588,234$100,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,999.85	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards	16c	295,612$47,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,297.97	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards	16c	200,000$32,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,000	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Wizards	16c	200,000$32,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,999.99	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards	16c	106,665$17,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,066.32	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	15c	98,761$14,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,814.18	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards	16c	68,429$10,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,948.59	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wizards	15c	50,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,499.99	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	8c	21,998$1,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,686.64	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Wizards	17c	20,002$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400.33	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Wizards	16c	20,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.99	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Wizards	16c	18,750$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards	15c	17,500$2,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,624.99	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	14c	16,427$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.71	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wizards	16c	13,589$2,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,174.25	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards	16c	12,500$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.99	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	15c	10,100$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Wizards	17c	10,000$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690.25	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	8c	9,400$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.17	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f6…673abacked Wizards	15c	9,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.98	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Wizards	17c	8,824$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	7c	7,252$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.84	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Wizards	16c	7,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Wizards	16c	6,250$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	220	35.5%78 W · 142 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Wizards	15c	5,900$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Wizards	9c	5,780$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Wizards	15c	5,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.98	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Wizards	6c	4,981$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.3	397	44.3%176 W · 221 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards	4c	4,903$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.59	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards	15c	4,737$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.49	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Wizards	17c	4,412$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Wizards	15c	4,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac61…2a16backed Wizards	16c	3,901$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.16	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.32per pick	47cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Wizards	14c	3,831$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.39	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	0c	3,747$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	3c	3,618$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.55	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Wizards	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	14c	3,000$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Wizards	13c	2,500$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards	16c	2,500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards	3c	2,421$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.63	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Wizards	1c	2,345$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57f…1b3cbacked Wizards	1c	2,070$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10c1…7a84backed Wizards	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wizards	1c	1,999$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards	4c	1,950$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x491d…91c2backed Wizards	4c	1,942$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Wizards	15c	1,919$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.84	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards	4c	1,667$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.67	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Wizards	14c	1,630$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.86	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe70e…669cbacked Wizards	16c	1,625$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	39cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Wizards	2c	1,584$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Wizards	17c	1,563$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.63	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Wizards	16c	1,361$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.8	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1489…4c4cbacked Wizards	16c	1,300$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed Wizards	15c	1,274$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.09	148	55.4%82 W · 66 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Wizards	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards	17c	1,243$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.29	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Wizards	15c	1,159$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.26	731	31.1%227 W · 504 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Wizards	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	207	28.5%59 W · 148 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Wizards	17c	1,053$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	149	24.8%37 W · 112 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Wizards	17c	1,010$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.67	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Wizards	2c	1,009$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Wizards	15c	1,001$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.15	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Wizards	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	641	39%250 W · 391 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf2…5caabacked Wizards	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Wizards	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	401	27.2%109 W · 292 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards	17c	1,000$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.5	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Wizards	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Wizards	17c	1,000$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.5	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Wizards	17c	976.37$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.76	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Wizards	17c	955.88$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Wizards	17c	950$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.5	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Wizards	4c	900$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	161	40.4%65 W · 96 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Wizards	13c	887.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.88	143	34.3%49 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2090…7584backed Wizards	16c	800$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf808…7797backed Wizards	13c	799.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Wizards	17c	769.76$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.86	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards	7c	761.11$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.28	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f82…ca54backed Wizards	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Wizards	17c	687.03$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.01	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Wizards	16c	663.44$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.9	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Wizards	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Wizards	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	604	44.2%267 W · 337 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Wizards	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab8…b5a6backed Wizards	16c	618.75$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Wizards	17c	606.06$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.03	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b1…7701backed Wizards	12c	599.97$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Wizards	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Wizards	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd79…989ebacked Wizards	16c	556.25$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Wizards	4c	542.86$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	405	36.5%148 W · 257 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked Wizards	17c	532.01$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.08	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…2a9bbacked Wizards	8c	528.18$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.61	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Wizards	17c	515.42$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.62	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…7c6bbacked Wizards	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057d…bd94backed Wizards	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Knicks vs. Wizardsthis page
1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
Knicks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Knicks vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event