NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8269a43438443e18d8b1d2b0a538f514900463a9d22e71bb7c4dad27b17efd33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wizards | 57c | 24,491$13,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,943.72 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 43c | 4,668$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 45c | 3,633$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Knicks | 43c | 3,202$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.14 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Knicks | 43c | 3,032$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.03 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Knicks | 43c | 2,771$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.47 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Knicks | 46c | 2,001$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.54 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Knicks | 43c | 1,568$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.79 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Wizards | 54c | 1,435$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.92 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 44c | 1,366$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Knicks | 43c | 1,250$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Knicks | 43c | 921.72$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.6 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 43c | 641.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Knicks | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Knicks | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 55c | 474.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Knicks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Knicks | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Wizards | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Knicks | 44c | 268.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Knicks | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Knicks | 43c | 238.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Knicks | 46c | 222.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 55c | 202.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 55c | 180.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Wizards | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Knicks | 43c | 157$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 43c | 147.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Wizards | 30c | 134.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wizards | 56c | 125.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Wizards | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Knicks | 43c | 114.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…1659backed Knicks | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Wizards | 57c | 103.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 44c | 92.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wizards | 57c | 87.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Wizards | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Knicks | 44c | 67.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks | 52c | 63.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wizards | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 44c | 54.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…2f5abacked Knicks | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 49c | 51.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Knicks | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Knicks | 43c | 48.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Knicks | 43c | 47.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Knicks | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Wizards | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Wizards | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Wizards | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1902…ffc4backed Wizards | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wizards | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Wizards | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Wizards | 55c | 34.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…ac06backed Knicks | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Wizards | 56c | 30.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked Wizards | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Knicks | 67c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wizards | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Knicks vs. WizardsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.