NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac9082fcb49772a691776a3093a11ecca7b82815dd4d128d659b166010b42b30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Wizards | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.97 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wizards | 48c | 11,051$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.58 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Knicks | 52c | 9,919$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.23 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Knicks | 52c | 9,231$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.77 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 52c | 8,890$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 52c | 8,019$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Knicks | 51c | 7,756$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.44 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Knicks | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Knicks | 52c | 5,934$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.27 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Knicks | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Knicks | 52c | 2,957$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.42 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 48c | 1,168$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.97 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Knicks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Knicks | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Knicks | 51c | 791.95$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Knicks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Knicks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Knicks | 53c | 349.07$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 29c | 262.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Knicks | 53c | 251.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Knicks | 52c | 238.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wizards | 49c | 238$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Knicks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks | 52c | 147.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Knicks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Wizards | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Knicks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards | 49c | 96.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Knicks | 52c | 66.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Knicks | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Knicks | 52c | 62.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Knicks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Wizards | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Wizards | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Knicks | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1adfbacked Knicks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…46cebacked Knicks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Knicks | 52c | 28.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Knicks | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Knicks | 51c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Wizards | 46c | 21.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Knicks vs. WizardsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.