NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb847a3d51fae66132021f24d4ea46a88f4f4acb17698341e4a4746347bb206f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 162,357$79,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,922.69 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 52c | 75,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 70,941$36,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,179.66 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 53c | 69,324$36,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,741.52 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 15,093$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,994.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 13,000$6,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,890 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 12,577$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,570.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 52c | 6,655$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.25 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Over | 47c | 6,574$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.47 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 5,362$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.7 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,888$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 47c | 3,783$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.03 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 3,484$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Over | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 50c | 2,733$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.76 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 1,700$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.78 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 55c | 1,450$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.5 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 42c | 1,394$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 958$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.74 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 852.15$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.21 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 728.69$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.68 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 505$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 466$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 63c | 444$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 300.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Over | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…0b63backed Under | 53c | 186.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 133.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 47c | 105.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…6622backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 98.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…5cdabacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 53c | 74.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 71.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 53c | 47.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 47c | 37.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 47c | 37.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…c3dbbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 36.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 35.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 52c | 35.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked Under | 44c | 31.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…ab94backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 47c | 26.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…9ba0backed Over | 69c | 25.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +238.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 54c | 18.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Over | 78c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Knicks vs. WizardsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.