TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Wizards52c41,232$21,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,440.61,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks48c30,216$14,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,659.552,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wizards52c28,862$15,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,008.1127747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks48c27,680$13,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,381.632,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks48c18,790$8,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,813.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Wizards51c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.924725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Wizards51c9,543$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,866.4145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Knicks48c5,206$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.2548546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Wizards53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed Knicks49c3,830$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.532759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Wizards53c3,800$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01424549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Wizards52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Wizards52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Knicks48c2,917$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.6724450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks48c2,449$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks48c2,292$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.671,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Knicks48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Knicks48c1,898$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.9658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Knicks48c1,673$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.6212843.8%56 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards31c1,584$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.583,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Knicks48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks48c1,148$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks49c1,114$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.141,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e9…a504backed Knicks48c1,017$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Wizards52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Knicks48c929.48$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.4119647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Knicks48c883.92$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.741,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Wizards51c829.33$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.9629149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks62c791.79$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Knicks48c785.46$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.448751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks64c707.09$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.323,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks71c659.04$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.831,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ea…80f1backed Knicks48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc80e…e130backed Wizards52c620$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Knicks50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Knicks73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13514766%97 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards52c434.89$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.143,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Knicks47c414.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.591,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Knicks49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1615650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Wizards53c405.66$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21511755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Wizards27c354.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Knicks48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15666645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wizards53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Knicks47c253$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.099247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Knicks49c249.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks69c216.75$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.191,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks48c216.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.713,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Knicks48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10432346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Wizards27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks48c175$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards29c160.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Knicks48c147.79$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks48c143.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks48c139$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.281,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Wizards51c135.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6918456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbfd…46f8backed Wizards53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013142.7%56 W · 75 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…241bbacked Knicks48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Wizards52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Knicks70c98.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7647045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks47c94.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Knicks73c85.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Knicks50c85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5542146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdce…f9e2backed Knicks48c84.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Knicks65c83.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.250651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Knicks48c82.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.71,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44e…c6b8backed Knicks73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.194040%16 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Knicks49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2211626.7%31 W · 85 L-16.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks48c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.082,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Knicks48c51.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7439756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Knicks48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264351.2%22 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Wizards52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2638252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Knicks50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2574547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Wizards34c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Knicks48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.679655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Wizards53c40.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Knicks51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.632455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Knicks51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2229646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Knicks49c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0239041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08f1…196ebacked Knicks51c36.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7716543.6%72 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…fa0fbacked Knicks48c33.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…94f2backed Knicks49c32.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.442055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Knicks47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9116935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf902…d23fbacked Knicks49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Wizards51c28.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2900…b84ebacked Knicks50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks48c27.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.232,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed Knicks73c27.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43275%24 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Wizards52c27.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.233552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Wizards53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb79b…cf30backed Knicks49c26.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.353452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Knicks51c25.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5911636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f7…f22dbacked Knicks51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Knicks48c24.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8750948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe223…aee2backed Knicks49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Knicks48c23.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2212560%75 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed9…ed83backed Knicks49c22.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e64…bbdebacked Knicks50c21.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Knicks48c20.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8345460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Knicks72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.836241.9%26 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.