NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7538f836e36da516b159db07e3273801276eb822183037a25c38f1e19ba10e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 8,078$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Over | 54c | 4,082$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.47 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 52c | 3,243$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.1 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 2,442$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 1,746$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 1,285$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 1,247$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 51c | 1,201$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.57 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 732.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 31c | 692.53$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 657.94$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.19 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 622.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 47c | 511.61$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.45 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 497.88$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 49c | 491$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.59 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 50c | 403.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 362.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.22 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 24c | 350.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Over | 58c | 346.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 8c | 302.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 66c | 183.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 34c | 174.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 170.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 47c | 127$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Over | 54c | 111.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 38c | 110.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Under | 15c | 106.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 42c | 94.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 53c | 78.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Under | 53c | 75.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 51c | 68.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Over | 57c | 63.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…ff31backed Over | 51c | 61.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 54.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked Under | 44c | 45.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Under | 49c | 33.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9335…0c21backed Over | 78c | 27.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…89edbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6575backed Over | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Under | 50c | 22.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Knicks vs. WizardsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.