TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$413,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$417,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c308,587$157,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,347.1987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under49c187,561$91,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,905.051,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c75,000$36,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,75024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c30,747$15,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,373.6454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c20,495$10,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,250.623,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under50c17,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,50016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under49c11,111$5,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,444.3924554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c8,877$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,438.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over50c4,538$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.8129243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a17…6c68backed Over50c4,400$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under49c4,273$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.5511252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.575550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c3,801$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over50c2,604$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.851,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c2,545$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c1,986$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.062,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,835$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9871…b57ebacked Under50c1,700$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c1,594$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.283,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b07…a876backed Under50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over57c1,305$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.593,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc3…1894backed Under50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over50c1,277$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.543052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under40c1,164$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.4248347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over51c1,143$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.61,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Under52c962.88$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over63c823.91$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under4c760.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4335326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3506659.1%39 W · 27 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over50c688$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under40c670.53$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.673,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over49c624.11$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.293,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009843.9%43 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c532.46$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505450%27 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under50c399.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9920149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under50c399.96$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed Over51c390.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.541550.1%208 W · 207 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacd…e880backed Under49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Under50c320.77$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.663844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c312.73$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.372,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.224442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14747856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over51c295.31$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.727943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under49c283.57$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9515349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7130…02efbacked Under50c239.61$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over38c225.4$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.752,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c204.48$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2424946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under50c187.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under52c178.85$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9317545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e86…d720backed Over50c166.12$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.06875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under51c150.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8653149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c150.27$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.632,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8d1…a5ddbacked Under50c148.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Over50c141$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.58644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c137$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Under50c128$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under50c118.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4721357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c118.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over51c109.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7352951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5138845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over48c98.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3226839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Under50c80.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.26055%33 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4712…b584backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4326824.6%66 W · 202 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c10…5796backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Under50c75.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.654839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Under50c73.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7821243.4%92 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe54…5ff2backed Over51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75052%26 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over38c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.443246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under55c64.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6723047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under52c59.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7438347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under40c58.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2613563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over43c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2152052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1547…0e0fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over50c49.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.041,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…1dbebacked Under50c49.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.755145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.