NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f8a473c6e75f4f7914c8e29cc23044a3877527f46c84dae3559edfa02c11e34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,269,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,447,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,269,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,062 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 47c | 615,630$291,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324,199.36 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 425,000$211,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,499.98 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 51c | 263,597$135,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,075.35 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 1c | 216,567$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.73 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Kings | 60c | 200,000$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 192,464$88,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,614.53 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Kings | 51c | 144,295$73,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,481.22 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 53c | 121,479$64,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,434.51 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Kings | 54c | 117,339$62,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,999.13 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 92,895$42,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,401.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 83,573$40,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,669.57 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Kings | 52c | 69,931$36,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,364.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 53c | 65,785$35,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,126.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 51c | 61,467$31,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,344.38 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…5b90backed Grizzlies | 51c | 47,200$24,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,128 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…5a9dbacked Kings | 49c | 47,200$23,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies | 43c | 45,441$19,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,774.91 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 52c | 43,729$22,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,902.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 43c | 41,756$18,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,088.75 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kings | 60c | 40,752$24,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,501.42 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 51c | 40,000$20,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Kings | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Kings | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Grizzlies | 47c | 34,544$16,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,137.69 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 30,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,499.96 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Kings | 57c | 30,000$17,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,010.59 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 51c | 29,585$15,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,019.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Grizzlies | 46c | 28,500$13,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,390 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Kings | 54c | 28,500$15,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,389.99 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Kings | 52c | 28,403$14,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,769.64 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Grizzlies | 78c | 28,371$22,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.55 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 51c | 27,753$14,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,153.79 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kings | 33c | 27,484$9,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,003.68 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kings | 51c | 24,803$12,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,529.51 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 47c | 24,180$11,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,468.18 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kings | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 53c | 23,833$12,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,522.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 51c | 23,298$11,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,854.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Kings | 54c | 22,536$12,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,230.32 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Kings | 54c | 22,295$12,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,039.19 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Kings | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 56c | 19,979$11,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,158.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 43c | 19,872$8,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,326.96 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Kings | 50c | 19,755$9,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,830 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Kings | 53c | 18,867$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.43 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 18,780$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,539.87 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Grizzlies | 42c | 18,204$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,479 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Kings | 57c | 18,047$10,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,206.95 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 52c | 18,032$9,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,382.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies | 40c | 17,907$7,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,676.29 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Kings | 63c | 17,906$11,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,198.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Grizzlies | 46c | 17,216$7,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,296.54 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 52c | 17,103$8,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,930.05 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Grizzlies | 48c | 17,015$8,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,848.05 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 38c | 16,741$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400.22 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies | 40c | 16,552$6,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,930.91 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Kings | 50c | 16,346$8,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,173 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Kings | 52c | 14,538$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 51c | 14,511$7,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,337.48 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Grizzlies | 43c | 14,216$6,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,054.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Kings | 51c | 13,923$7,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,081.49 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kings | 51c | 13,663$7,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,024.6 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Kings | 57c | 13,659$7,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,785.78 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 13,563$6,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,781.37 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 53c | 12,926$6,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies | 41c | 11,900$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kings | 52c | 11,636$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,054.33 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 47c | 11,054$5,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.33 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Kings | 51c | 10,550$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 10,257$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.92 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Kings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Grizzlies | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Grizzlies | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.98 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.5 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Kings | 52c | 9,796$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.92 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Kings | 52c | 9,765$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,077.86 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Grizzlies | 40c | 9,350$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 42c | 9,286$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.99 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Kings | 68c | 9,219$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.13 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Kings | 53c | 8,653$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Grizzlies | 40c | 8,500$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Kings | 72c | 8,211$5,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.97 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Kings | 51c | 7,877$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 51c | 7,626$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.27 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 48c | 7,423$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 7,415$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.73 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Kings | 50c | 7,100$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Kings | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed Grizzlies | 58c | 6,832$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.61 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…6b37backed Kings | 53c | 6,762$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Kings | 54c | 6,602$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.27 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Kings | 51c | 6,597$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.15 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 6,550$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.3 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 6,300$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.99 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 53c | 6,110$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Kingsthis page
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.