NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x169b27d2fdceec3eec3922c9a1dff97595caa6459672e5e5aea9b7080a388db4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 11,853$6,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 11,034$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.48 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Over | 52c | 6,898$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.87 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 59c | 3,924$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…2a42backed Over | 48c | 3,745$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…d561backed Under | 52c | 3,587$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a766backed Under | 52c | 3,321$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…cb38backed Under | 52c | 3,312$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…c8fdbacked Over | 48c | 3,312$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…06f8backed Under | 52c | 3,303$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5211…d632backed Over | 48c | 3,272$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…ab32backed Over | 48c | 3,261$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…046cbacked Over | 48c | 3,255$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…8f94backed Under | 52c | 3,252$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…29d4backed Under | 52c | 3,215$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…e9e1backed Over | 48c | 3,145$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…7c81backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…d95bbacked Under | 52c | 2,904$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…83d4backed Over | 48c | 2,875$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae7…da50backed Under | 52c | 2,789$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…b388backed Under | 52c | 2,784$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…5e13backed Over | 48c | 2,733$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf4…eca0backed Under | 52c | 2,728$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…ecc9backed Under | 52c | 2,633$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…1b93backed Over | 48c | 2,591$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…be40backed Over | 48c | 2,547$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d9…2077backed Over | 48c | 2,512$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e8…db2ebacked Under | 52c | 2,420$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 2,415$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 2,335$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.21 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 1,896$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,830$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 1,495$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 1,493$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.27 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 27c | 1,276$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 49c | 896.53$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.29 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 604.16$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 46c | 430.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 57c | 417$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Under | 66c | 344.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.75 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 249.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 61c | 149.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 137.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…c668backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Over | 47c | 83.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 53c | 72.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 48.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 45c | 48.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 48c | 44.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 47c | 37.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 37.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 35.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 59c | 35.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 59c | 31.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 57c | 30.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…9578backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…4711backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…2c19backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 229.5this page
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. KingsGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.