NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x309c4aa890bab77602e1e048cb9a0b49d484fba3e17360cb506926f2ac853a88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Kings, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 52c | 241,425$125,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,076.14 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Kings | 48c | 45,407$21,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,795.36 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 48c | 30,136$14,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,465.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26b…3266backed Kings | 48c | 22,281$10,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,695 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kings | 48c | 20,808$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…da33backed Kings | 48c | 20,679$9,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,925.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 17,293$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,618.81 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 50c | 15,992$7,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,992.75 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 48c | 14,783$7,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,106.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Kings | 48c | 12,490$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.2 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 49c | 11,738$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Kings | 48c | 11,250$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 57c | 11,118$6,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,828.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Kings | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Kings | 48c | 7,051$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.3 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Kings | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Kings | 50c | 5,633$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 5,236$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f35…5016backed Kings | 49c | 5,200$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Kings | 48c | 5,031$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Kings | 49c | 4,778$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Kings | 48c | 4,169$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Kings | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 48c | 3,638$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 48c | 2,970$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.69 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Kings | 48c | 2,757$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.49 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kings | 48c | 2,330$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.34 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,302$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.96 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,228$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.27 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Kings | 48c | 1,974$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.65 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,664$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.59 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 49c | 1,487$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.66 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…608dbacked Kings | 48c | 1,379$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Kings | 55c | 1,265$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 48c | 1,064$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.62 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd7…a9ffbacked Kings | 49c | 1,044$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Kings | 48c | 1,033$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 50c | 999$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 31c | 955.66$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Grizzlies | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Kings | 46c | 872$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.18 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 51c | 860.6$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Kings | 48c | 821.44$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.29 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Kings | 27c | 681.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kings | 48c | 650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 640.13$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Kings | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Kings | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 586.36$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.36 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Kings | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Kings | 48c | 510.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 453.5$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kings | 50c | 441.24$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…b0ffbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 429.38$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Kings | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Kings | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Kings | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Grizzlies | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Kings | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings | 47c | 236.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…5be8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 224.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Kings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Kings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Kings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Kings | 50c | 205.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Grizzlies | 50c | 176.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Kings | 49c | 153.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Grizzlies | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kings | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Kings | 48c | 145.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…bd6fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Grizzlies | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Kings | 48c | 126.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Kings | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Kings | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…e045backed Kings | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Kings | 49c | 100.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Grizzlies | 46c | 94.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…6cadbacked Kings | 45c | 84.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Kings | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Kings | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…695fbacked Kings | 55c | 81.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kings | 49c | 80.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 78.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Kings | 48c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Kings | 48c | 73.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…617fbacked Kings | 56c | 70.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…e094backed Kings | 48c | 68.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Kings | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Kings | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfb…266abacked Kings | 55c | 56.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Kings | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. KingsGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.