NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c0b50468a430a86109233de674bb976f0b90d55c1d81cdfbef7ad66165daf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb42a…4493backed Over | 51c | 1,841$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,436$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,273$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 1,157$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.63 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 52c | 1,007$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.97 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 53c | 757.74$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.14 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 625.09$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 55c | 608.65$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 43c | 587.17$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 572.95$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 536.07$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 31c | 508$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 44c | 491$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 456.61$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.61 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 42c | 419.37$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 413$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 66c | 355.1$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 326$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 51c | 306.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 296$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 63c | 266.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 59c | 208.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 199.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 152.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 136.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…13bebacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 39c | 85.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 84.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 76.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 63c | 63.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 56.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 54.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under | 50c | 54.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Under | 23c | 47.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 65c | 44.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 41.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…ab94backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248b…712fbacked Under | 35c | 33.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…2c19backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 58c | 29.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 57c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…0a43backed Under | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5this page
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. KingsGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.