NBA · resolved market

Spread: Kings (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a789e6054d58523de07f512e549f7dff90eb37ed98e8376e5218d91a814d3b

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Kings, Grizzlies
Resolved: Feb 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $216,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $216,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,127 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies	54c	101,831$54,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,899.09	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Kings	45c	57,522$25,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,884.93	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Kings	54c	23,719$12,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,913.58	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-12.4wins	-0.26per pick	52cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings	47c	22,304$10,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,411.42	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Kings	48c	18,542$8,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,900	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Kings	54c	15,929$8,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,601.63	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,100	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	48c	9,707$4,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,073.37	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies	48c	9,231$4,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,764.11	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies	49c	7,814$3,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,985.22	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Kings	47c	6,532$3,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,077	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Grizzlies	47c	6,500$3,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,445	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Kings	48c	5,392$2,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,588	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies	62c	5,072$3,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.39	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies	48c	3,858$1,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,006.76	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Grizzlies	46c	2,280$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.2	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings	49c	2,131$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.69	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings	35c	2,045$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.17	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Kings	48c	2,013$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Kings	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Grizzlies	45c	1,700$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies	53c	1,373$725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.92	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x503c…1b93backed Kings	46c	1,247$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.62	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies	48c	1,142$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.84	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Kings	59c	1,111$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings	29c	1,035$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.07	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e8…db2ebacked Grizzlies	54c	1,025$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Kings	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies	46c	974$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525.96	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1735…ecc9backed Kings	46c	955$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Grizzlies	46c	953.73$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.01	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…be40backed Grizzlies	54c	952$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Grizzlies	54c	942.58$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.85	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Grizzlies	50c	776.92$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.46	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab77…b388backed Grizzlies	54c	688$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Kings	49c	590.1$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.17	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d9…2077backed Kings	46c	550$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings	48c	517$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.1	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings	44c	500.1$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.54	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7a…5e13backed Grizzlies	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae7…da50backed Grizzlies	54c	477$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4741…83d4backed Kings	46c	474$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Kings	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Grizzlies	55c	406$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.7	435	43.4%189 W · 246 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies	54c	400.12$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.72	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies	48c	399.51$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.75	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc13e…5be8backed Grizzlies	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	59cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf4…eca0backed Kings	46c	352$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Kings	37c	333.18$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.41	455	42.4%193 W · 262 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76c3…4b14backed Kings	52c	319.36$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.07	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies	45c	318.33$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.08	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings	47c	312.57$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.14	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f32…483dbacked Kings	55c	311.26$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.68	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Grizzlies	42c	299.98$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.99	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420c…d95bbacked Kings	46c	288$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Kings	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kings	47c	245$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.05	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kings	46c	223.66$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.78	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Grizzlies	46c	215.65$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.45	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d4…7c81backed Grizzlies	54c	214$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Grizzlies	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef71…dedebacked Kings	51c	190.8$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.31	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Kings	52c	188.06$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings	51c	188$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.88	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings	58c	186.56$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.12	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies	55c	181.81$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.81	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Grizzlies	56c	176.79$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.79	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies	48c	173.53$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.09	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings	54c	167.71$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.51	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kings	45c	167.64$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.44	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Kings	55c	163$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.85	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Kings	49c	148.87$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.57	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Kings	53c	144.84$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.41	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…d4a4backed Grizzlies	55c	143.64$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.64	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings	46c	137.9$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.47	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies	76c	131.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.45	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Grizzlies	56c	125.59$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.26	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings	25c	114$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Kings	48c	111.98$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.3	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Grizzlies	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	168	53%89 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa885…84debacked Kings	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Grizzlies	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf89c…8937backed Grizzlies	57c	99.82$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.92	32	78.1%25 W · 7 L	+7.0wins	+0.22per pick	56cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Kings	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170f…790bbacked Grizzlies	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Kings	56c	89.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings	49c	86.65$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.39	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Grizzlies	50c	86.53$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.35	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Kings	56c	86$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.11	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings	49c	82.51$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd75…ae75backed Grizzlies	41c	79.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.19	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked Grizzlies	54c	74.99$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.78	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+21%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies	45c	74$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.7	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Grizzlies	46c	72$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.67	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fd…f553backed Grizzlies	53c	71.51$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.61	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+19%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Grizzlies	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x309a…f474backed Grizzlies	56c	64.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.88	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Grizzlies	47c	64.3$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.34	243	30.5%74 W · 169 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Grizzlies	46c	62.83$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.93	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies	54c	61$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.06	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Kings (-2.5)this page
Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Grizzlies vs. KingsGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Santi Aldama: Points O/U 14.5No won
Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Kings (-1.5)Grizzlies won
Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Kings (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event