TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penn Quakersof Columbia Lions, Penn Quakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Penn Quakers46c144,307$65,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,456.2349345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Columbia Lions55c97,959$53,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,816.3214940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Columbia Lions52c19,284$9,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,973.895,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Columbia Lions55c10,246$5,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,661.191,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Columbia Lions46c8,160$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.657145.1%32 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Columbia Lions54c7,005$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.291,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Penn Quakers55c5,010$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…d373backed Columbia Lions45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Columbia Lions45c4,748$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.8261652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Penn Quakers55c4,440$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.0521149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Columbia Lions60c3,875$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.171,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Columbia Lions36c3,744$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.162,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Penn Quakers56c3,700$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.376550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Penn Quakers42c2,629$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.993,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn Quakers57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8602,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Columbia Lions46c1,598$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.9237947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Penn Quakers57c1,524$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.521,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ee…85febacked Penn Quakers39c1,288$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.521631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Penn Quakers40c1,268$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.12,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Penn Quakers39c1,249$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.321,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn Quakers44c1,211$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.261,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Columbia Lions65c1,153$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Columbia Lions2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Penn Quakers60c945$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.331,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Penn Quakers48c863.59$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.561947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Columbia Lions56c842.33$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.54,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Columbia Lions64c836.98$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.5674152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Penn Quakers36c820.47$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.913836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Penn Quakers45c750$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8570…772ebacked Penn Quakers37c678.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Penn Quakers40c677.67$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.313842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Columbia Lions65c660$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7643450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Columbia Lions61c616.15$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.852,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Columbia Lions50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5734…5c4abacked Columbia Lions60c576.4$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Columbia Lions62c553.2$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.454,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Columbia Lions59c512.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Columbia Lions60c418$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.83,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6155…01a5backed Columbia Lions15c405.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9160%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Columbia Lions10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Columbia Lions53c379.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Penn Quakers48c362.35$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8968254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Columbia Lions55c361$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9525246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Columbia Lions42c357.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.251,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Columbia Lions59c351.32$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.96988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Columbia Lions60c334.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Penn Quakers51c324.56$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.253,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Columbia Lions40c318.19$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8437835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Columbia Lions43c308$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.661,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Columbia Lions57c306$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.291,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf50d…7ba8backed Columbia Lions10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Columbia Lions45c288.89$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Penn Quakers55c283$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Columbia Lions51c255.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.911,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Penn Quakers59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.242458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Penn Quakers56c240.36$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Columbia Lions56c224.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.086457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f6…d81abacked Penn Quakers39c224.1$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.782128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Columbia Lions45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Penn Quakers46c220$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5414151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Penn Quakers34c206.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9125337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Columbia Lions40c200.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.182,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Columbia Lions10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Penn Quakers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.13345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Columbia Lions41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8231537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed Columbia Lions44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Penn Quakers55c196.71$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.392,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Columbia Lions45c190$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0540849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Columbia Lions53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb88…b1d7backed Columbia Lions53c187.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Penn Quakers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1940252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Penn Quakers47c179$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.871258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Columbia Lions45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Penn Quakers57c175.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4939050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Penn Quakers57c175.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.534,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Penn Quakers57c166.95$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8518844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc60…997cbacked Columbia Lions62c164.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Columbia Lions43c163$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Columbia Lions61c163$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4322157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Penn Quakers55c157$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6523948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Penn Quakers43c154.07$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Columbia Lions42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6321449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Columbia Lions45c149.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.59258.7%54 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Columbia Lions42c142.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5124340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Penn Quakers38c141$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked Columbia Lions62c140.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Penn Quakers42c135.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.047746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked Penn Quakers45c124.44$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.445910.2%6 W · 53 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Columbia Lions60c122.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.397247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Columbia Lions68c120.52$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.383060%18 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05aa…aca6backed Columbia Lions45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Penn Quakers40c102.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8620234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Penn Quakers58c98.12$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2112251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75b…b4f5backed Columbia Lions52c96.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd36…2eefbacked Columbia Lions74c87.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Columbia Lions43c83.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Penn Quakers36c82.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.493423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Penn Quakers45c82.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.042,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Penn Quakers61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974877.1%37 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Penn Quakers55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.