Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f91eb13f6a5d7c0a32b3fa9eef8cb05a9d0a31381647ac37757d3f92563c651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 18,483$9,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,319.32 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 14,929$7,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,619.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 6,769$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 50c | 4,022$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.19 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 1,952$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.4 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,222$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.39 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 2c | 898.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 640.38$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 17c | 206.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Under | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Under | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 134.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Under | 48c | 108.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 108.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 35c | 108$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 79c | 63.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 51c | 60.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Under | 56c | 58.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 50c | 46.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 48c | 25.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 23.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 22.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Under | 51c | 21.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 148.5this page
- Columbia Lions vs. Penn QuakersPenn Quakers won
- Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 146.5Under won
- Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-2.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-3.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.