TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6155…01a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-86.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27
New Delhi: Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geertsbacked Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$114.25
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$52.98
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Gabriela Ruse vs Emma Navarrobacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Veronika Erjavec vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42.72
Dallas Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.79
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sonay Kartal vs Cristina Bucsabacked Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$115.23
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.45
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.84
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+109.8%+$271.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.