Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Auburn Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9175a0ef8b61870b84baeed45328d9b6882b5fd460be6826fe82b5c494b9fc3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Auburn Tigers, Arkansas Razorbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6155…01a5backed Auburn Tigers | 1c | 2,521$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Auburn Tigers | 23c | 2,436$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.28 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Auburn Tigers | 21c | 2,382$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.23 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 79c | 2,211$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.88 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Auburn Tigers | 14c | 1,780$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 79c | 1,736$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.56 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Auburn Tigers | 28c | 1,604$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.82 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Auburn Tigers | 25c | 1,045$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.24 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Auburn Tigers | 17c | 834.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Auburn Tigers | 12c | 812.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 633.02$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 522$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Auburn Tigers | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 476.21$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers | 7c | 434.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 423.01$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Auburn Tigers | 17c | 357.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Auburn Tigers | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers | 10c | 266.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Auburn Tigers | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Auburn Tigers | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 189$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Auburn Tigers | 16c | 177.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 164.2$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…da9dbacked Auburn Tigers | 17c | 141.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Auburn Tigers | 20c | 127.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 78c | 113.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Auburn Tigers | 11c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 79c | 108.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Auburn Tigers | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Auburn Tigers | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 78.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Auburn Tigers | 21c | 70.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 78c | 68.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Auburn Tigers | 29c | 67.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc7…5dfcbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 47.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Auburn Tigers | 22c | 45.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Auburn Tigers | 34c | 44.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked Auburn Tigers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 39.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Auburn Tigers | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auburn Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksthis page
- Auburn Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.