Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sonay Kartal vs Cristina Bucsa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x633ed92d3f27474f9d806b544380d2b3661c548b06e75aa29e5392452a045cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kartalof Kartal, Bucsa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kartal | 77c | 14,617$11,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.98 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucsa | 7c | 7,552$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.39 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Bucsa | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucsa | 24c | 6,395$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.87 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ce…4994backed Kartal | 79c | 4,462$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucsa | 11c | 3,844$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bucsa | 16c | 3,296$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucsa | 12c | 2,744$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.87 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Bucsa | 35c | 2,117$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.61 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kartal | 74c | 2,115$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…5dabbacked Bucsa | 34c | 1,515$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Bucsa | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kartal | 65c | 1,385$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.62 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Bucsa | 37c | 1,327$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bucsa | 2c | 1,302$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kartal | 67c | 1,276$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.65 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Kartal | 64c | 1,113$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.75 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bucsa | 3c | 886.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kartal | 78c | 843.99$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Bucsa | 6c | 839.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…01a5backed Bucsa | 17c | 682.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bucsa | 16c | 634.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bucsa | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Kartal | 80c | 589.13$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…809bbacked Bucsa | 3c | 551.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Kartal | 65c | 418.37$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Bucsa | 15c | 379.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Bucsa | 21c | 356$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Bucsa | 17c | 346.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Bucsa | 7c | 288.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Kartal | 79c | 286.09$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…cb61backed Kartal | 72c | 285.64$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucsa | 36c | 268$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Bucsa | 24c | 255$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kartal | 68c | 253$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Bucsa | 12c | 233.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Bucsa | 22c | 230.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Bucsa | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Bucsa | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Kartal | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bucsa | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Bucsa | 35c | 142.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bucsa | 23c | 142$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Bucsa | 8c | 130.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Kartal | 80c | 125.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Bucsa | 12c | 122.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Bucsa | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kartal | 65c | 91.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…583abacked Bucsa | 24c | 83.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…a4c8backed Bucsa | 15c | 80.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Bucsa | 38c | 79.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…2995backed Bucsa | 32c | 78.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bucsa | 14c | 75.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Kartal | 67c | 73.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Bucsa | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…8e5fbacked Kartal | 79c | 65.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Bucsa | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Bucsa | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kartal | 65c | 61.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…0598backed Bucsa | 21c | 60.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…7f0fbacked Bucsa | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Bucsa | 32c | 56.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bucsa | 32c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Kartal | 71c | 32.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Kartal | 73c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…a71bbacked Kartal | 76c | 23.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Kartal | 65c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…e270backed Kartal | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Kartal | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…470fbacked Kartal | 79c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sonay Kartal vs Cristina Bucsathis page
- Kartal vs. Bucsa: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Kartal vs. Bucsa: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Kartal (-1.5) vs Bucsa (+1.5)Kartal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.