TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Scotlandof Italy, Scotland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$382,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Italy32c37,900$12,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,124.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Scotland68c35,851$24,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,472.17850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a0…165dbacked Scotland74c17,627$13,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,582.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed Italy19c9,735$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.8215335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Scotland69c5,781$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.314637%17 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Italy5c5,532$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.094143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Italy2c4,123$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6331027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Italy1c4,111$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.683698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ae…2f20backed Italy7c4,050$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.54637%17 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Scotland70c3,505$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.751758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac7…689dbacked Italy30c3,501$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.361118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a01…01cebacked Scotland66c3,451$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.734761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Italy20c3,400$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.5733042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd237…dc82backed Italy14c2,956$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.052321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Italy15c2,713$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4168949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Italy13c2,606$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.342524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked Italy5c2,600$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6910132.7%33 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6e…eb7dbacked Italy3c2,571$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722910.3%3 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-57.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Italy34c2,432$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.86520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Scotland67c2,237$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.0616345.4%74 W · 89 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1939…b86bbacked Scotland74c2,103$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.312352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…d038backed Italy11c2,060$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.211625%29 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…1540backed Italy6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202250%11 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Italy5c1,986$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.557027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Italy17c1,700$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.68825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+68.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bd4…1b34backed Italy3c1,664$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.922025%5 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Italy29c1,537$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.576351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Italy7c1,383$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007746.8%36 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Italy22c1,291$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.411524.3%28 W · 87 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Scotland68c1,214$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.6511143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea9…4453backed Scotland79c1,153$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.183548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Italy27c1,092$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Scotland67c1,072$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3536946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Italy30c919.4$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.163941%16 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Italy31c915.16$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3828749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4830…a59dbacked Italy3c884.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.56013.3%8 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x321c…4ad6backed Italy11c877.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.013633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Italy23c854$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.564940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Italy23c850$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.675637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Italy32c843.51$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.581942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee65…5067backed Italy10c799.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Scotland69c798.84$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Italy11c761.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24c…8f5bbacked Italy3c755.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.662420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1edd…be0fbacked Italy2c746.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4811424.6%28 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ffd…74bfbacked Italy12c681.67$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.436817.6%12 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Italy4c675.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.561116.3%7 W · 104 L-18.9wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Italy22c666$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.395933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed Italy20c664$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.819843.4%86 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8678…b755backed Italy34c661.27$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8315561.9%96 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4254…bd9bbacked Scotland79c653.51$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.65366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf08…b2b1backed Italy11c650$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf03f…17e1backed Italy8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504228.6%12 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Italy8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Scotland71c611.24$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2419265.6%126 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Italy31c603.5$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9163646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…c000backed Italy13c591.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Italy7c587.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1119450%97 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…1977backed Italy9c580.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505836.2%21 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fd…4747backed Italy18c560$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82714.8%4 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8907…155ebacked Italy12c531.19$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.411540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1501…a163backed Scotland75c530.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.593652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee8…f214backed Italy11c526.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6080%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d7a…5c3dbacked Italy3c500.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9119…7938backed Italy7c500$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Italy8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6155…01a5backed Italy17c500$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…416ebacked Italy7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3052…ca02backed Italy23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510734.6%37 W · 70 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72a7…1493backed Italy19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed Italy6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032415.7%51 W · 273 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Italy5c499.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231195.9%7 W · 112 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a0…96bfbacked Italy6c491.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Italy33c479.5$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012842.2%54 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Italy33c458.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010149.5%50 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3c…615dbacked Scotland71c458.17$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.394100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Italy28c430.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445f…cc13backed Italy8c430$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ef…eeaabacked Italy15c411$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.536958%40 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7361…7be5backed Italy5c400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcda6…127cbacked Scotland71c399.07$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.031250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Italy38c397.58$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Italy8c372.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305616.1%9 W · 47 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-41.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49a0…2ca6backed Italy11c363.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f28…e43ebacked Italy15c360$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.44944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad5…883ebacked Italy7c353$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4a…9d39backed Italy14c349.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0914141.8%59 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Italy28c338.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.314546.2%67 W · 78 L+16.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd7a…10d2backed Italy3c324.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Italy31c321.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0514129.1%41 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3360…6e80backed Italy12c318.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.733663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Italy17c317.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.049340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9131…0b06backed Italy35c313.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Italy32c312.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdea7…9df8backed Italy7c310$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.854143.9%18 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Italy33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ce…f82abacked Italy6c298.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b27…6a18backed Italy21c297.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.45540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6a40backed Italy7c297.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ae…3003backed Scotland69c296$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7613752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.