TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9119…7938

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+108%+$11.37
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.23
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.22
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+253.9%+$52.37
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+82.7%+$24.95
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+54.6%+$21.54
T20 World Cup: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.53
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+45.7%+$17.25
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55.67
T20 World Cup: Scotland vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.98
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100.8%+$16.81
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+547.4%+$109.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.04
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+93.1%+$13.5
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.96
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.46
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.43
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Lamar Cardinals vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.35
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.