Lol · resolved market
LoL: NightBirds vs Meavedron (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c03fd84edab6c0d1126fbd29e5c55a0b69069920bfffadf78fe89b2e04563c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NightBirdsof NightBirds, Meavedron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Meavedron | 6c | 3,165$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Meavedron | 8c | 971.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Meavedron | 8c | 784.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…2efbbacked Meavedron | 7c | 691.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Meavedron | 7c | 667$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked Meavedron | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Meavedron | 6c | 533.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Meavedron | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Meavedron | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…7a67backed Meavedron | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Meavedron | 8c | 193.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…7938backed Meavedron | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d4…f161backed Meavedron | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NightBirds vs Meavedron (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsthis page
- LoL: NightBirds vs Meavedron - Game 1 WinnerNightBirds won
- LoL: NightBirds vs Meavedron - Game 2 WinnerNightBirds won
- LoL: NightBirds vs Meavedron - Game 3 WinnerNightBirds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.