TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netherlandsof Namibia, Netherlands
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$899,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$962,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $899,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Namibia37c96,532$35,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,875.332045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed Netherlands68c70,758$48,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,373.5615335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef51…c0d3backed Netherlands66c57,867$38,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,765.9916349.7%81 W · 82 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d3…2b34backed Netherlands70c57,398$40,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,067.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Namibia34c48,023$16,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,403.291020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d2…bb65backed Namibia30c38,375$11,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,402.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Netherlands70c32,757$22,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,848.344637%17 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51a6…3d1dbacked Namibia35c31,471$11,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,014.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Namibia29c30,278$8,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,691.37349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Namibia24c28,255$6,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,809.0433042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Netherlands74c25,928$19,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,701.5810863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Namibia31c22,383$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,019.9813151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Netherlands68c17,200$11,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,461.549241.3%38 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56be…600dbacked Netherlands65c16,955$11,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,934.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Namibia26c15,876$4,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,127.5722552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae3f…32b9backed Netherlands65c15,392$10,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,387.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Netherlands67c12,112$8,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.764143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Netherlands70c11,948$8,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,571.68949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Namibia29c11,489$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.3428749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Netherlands68c11,476$7,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,662.9611143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Namibia21c9,311$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.1726130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Netherlands73c8,885$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.639851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Netherlands64c8,827$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.1729631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Namibia35c8,722$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.088742.5%37 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+209.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Netherlands62c6,956$4,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.0650547.5%240 W · 265 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Namibia7c6,794$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.9931543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Namibia35c6,780$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.133941%16 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Namibia38c6,672$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.0514852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Netherlands70c6,501$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda33…daccbacked Namibia36c5,531$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.74025%10 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a01…01cebacked Netherlands62c5,230$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.634761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x046a…eff1backed Netherlands66c4,968$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed Namibia32c4,678$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.656344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Namibia14c4,563$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.552416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked Namibia2c4,509$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.31775.2%4 W · 73 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4813…ae12backed Namibia40c4,444$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed Namibia28c4,424$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.8718923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bd…8733backed Namibia37c4,307$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Namibia5c4,119$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5831027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Namibia31c4,051$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.213227.3%36 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf4…5daabacked Namibia28c4,018$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.864047.5%19 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Netherlands68c3,898$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.61977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+58%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Namibia35c3,785$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd367…0957backed Namibia32c3,310$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.54431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd6…ef90backed Netherlands2c2,859$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.491100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,068.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…f1ccbacked Namibia31c2,764$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.383154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb39…9d0cbacked Netherlands2c2,700$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6361100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,118.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Netherlands65c2,658$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.011250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7476…d670backed Netherlands6c2,600$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4431100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,556.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b27…227ebacked Namibia26c2,600$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.424540%18 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Netherlands70c2,597$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.084168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Netherlands72c2,476$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.95637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5873…c03abacked Netherlands2c2,400$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3601100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+5,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6a…a85fbacked Netherlands3c2,400$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3311100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,378.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Namibia35c2,395$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.7876351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1939…b86bbacked Netherlands65c2,387$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.322352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Netherlands67c2,285$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7549340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Netherlands60c2,238$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.058946.1%41 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…191bbacked Netherlands6c2,200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0751100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,660%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Namibia33c2,170$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.6263646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd859…040abacked Namibia7c2,069$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5115…b61dbacked Netherlands64c2,045$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Namibia24c1,917$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.3713336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfecc…77dabacked Netherlands67c1,894$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.123548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Netherlands71c1,855$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.975933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Namibia33c1,741$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.8514129.1%41 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Namibia33c1,722$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.267931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2952…46edbacked Namibia12c1,697$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a6e…eb7dbacked Namibia13c1,693$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.742910.3%3 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-57.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Namibia32c1,600$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.711827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17b…29abbacked Netherlands64c1,595$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.78825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-64.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ce…d766backed Namibia1c1,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Namibia28c1,491$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.85944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked Netherlands9c1,400$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2734100%4 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+863.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd48e…1dfcbacked Netherlands64c1,369$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd533…7b07backed Netherlands8c1,300$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+507.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Namibia30c1,300$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Netherlands66c1,257$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.551233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd186…c85bbacked Netherlands67c1,240$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…76a5backed Netherlands77c1,170$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1212357.7%71 W · 52 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1501…a163backed Netherlands69c1,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.423652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Namibia36c1,128$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0110149.5%50 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4152…0c93backed Namibia32c1,086$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6946…5dacbacked Netherlands66c1,086$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Netherlands65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3506946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Netherlands5c1,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9501100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb475…2ed2backed Netherlands25c1,000$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7512100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Netherlands63c999.93$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.972119%4 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edd…be0fbacked Namibia30c998.4$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2411424.6%28 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ba…51ebbacked Netherlands70c962.71$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6a40backed Namibia17c956.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Netherlands68c941.18$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.181450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Namibia21c937.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.76669.1%6 W · 60 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-71.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Netherlands6c900$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843540%2 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick6cpaid+465.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Namibia4c853.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.523698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5b…1ab3backed Netherlands67c849.99$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22e…fe32backed Namibia33c849.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd2…8414backed Namibia33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e50…1efebacked Netherlands67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5854…1f78backed Netherlands69c716.67$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.