TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcda6…127c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
19
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Firebacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.06
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.93
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$57.77
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$277.03
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
T20 World Cup: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$64.64
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41%+$116.03
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$92.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$18.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.94
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.49
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.76
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.