MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a11ea5960d505a7a74cfa13277e8e1fc803d2bb9e0c6e5fdcb3a64ed66f0cf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Washington Nationals, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $791,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $790,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Colorado Rockies | 74c | 284,660$209,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,302.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 165,080$42,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,886.07 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 151,954$59,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,582.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d99…c027backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 44,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 37,818$19,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,287.33 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 25,892$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.8 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…6ec0backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 21,226$10,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,078.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 19,127$7,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,984.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 18,377$9,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,060.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 15,055$6,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,151.19 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Colorado Rockies | 78c | 13,963$10,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.21 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 12,017$7,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,570.71 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 11,981$5,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,602.63 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 11,216$7,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.92 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 10,113$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.25 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Colorado Rockies | 71c | 10,107$7,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 8,916$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.66 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2372backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 8,666$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 6,561$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.13 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 6,414$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 5,488$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.99 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 5,094$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.72 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 4,938$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.48 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 4,845$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 4,794$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.78 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 4,408$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.74 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 4,162$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.05 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 4,045$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 3,611$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.06 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 3,343$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.44 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 3,315$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 3,262$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 3,241$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.81 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 3,155$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.96 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 2,986$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 2,956$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.22 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Colorado Rockies | 71c | 2,913$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.84 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 2,865$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.08 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 2,269$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.93 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…ef2cbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,041$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.74 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,875$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,781$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.01 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,769$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.03 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,648$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,648$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,561$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 1,402$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.86 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,381$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.31 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 1,341$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 1,195$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.92 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,120$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.15 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,001$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.09 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Colorado Rockies | 77c | 999$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 982.29$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 963.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 826.96$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.35 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 788.05$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Washington Nationals | 16c | 786.59$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 781.9$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.74 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816f…5e5dbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 767.54$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 685.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.89 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 641.06$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 624.97$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.43 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 582.29$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 578.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 573.52$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 572.05$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.03 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Washington Nationals | 24c | 569.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 566.42$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 564.92$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 552$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 541.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 536.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 527.53$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.02 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 512.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 511.9$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 507.76$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 492.31$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.16 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 480.18$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.18 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 468$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 462.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 446$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 440$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Washington Nationals | 4c | 436.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 427.19$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 411.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.46 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesthis page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 18.5Under won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Washington Nationals vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.