MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c5bdca7b897f70dcb7d09970dba40a645253412d9e1844529c150a75f6d679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 45c | 208,527$94,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,631.76 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 54c | 85,549$46,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,352.62 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 47,227$25,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,250.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 12,856$7,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 8,046$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 55c | 7,994$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.28 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 54c | 5,135$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.01 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 55c | 3,900$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.13 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 54c | 2,936$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.02 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 2,537$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.74 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 2,250$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 55c | 1,884$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.59 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 55c | 1,620$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Under | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 55c | 1,183$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.35 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 56c | 1,094$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.38 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 55c | 982$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.06 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 56c | 980.86$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.86 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 56c | 975$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 63c | 939$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 54c | 750$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 55c | 654.73$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.63 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 53c | 647.09$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 56c | 641$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.3 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 571.46$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 55c | 373.64$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 366$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 55c | 363.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.79 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 37c | 356.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 56c | 300.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 30c | 296.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 46c | 290.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Under | 44c | 279.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 55c | 273.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 42c | 266.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 56c | 256.46$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 219.37$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 44c | 199$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 57c | 177.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 64c | 171.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 166$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 55c | 154.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 41c | 129.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 43c | 117.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 109.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…cf7cbacked Over | 54c | 101.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 55c | 93.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 85.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…7fd4backed Under | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 68c | 59.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 55c | 58.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Over | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 56c | 45.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…8932backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 56c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 55c | 24.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 55c | 24.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Over | 56c | 23.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 55c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 18.5Under won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Washington Nationals vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.